Market · 3 of 23 outcomes
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 888 | 52.0¢ | $511 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,000 | 50.2¢ | $425 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 691 | 50.2¢ | $294 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 429 | 55.1¢ | $246 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 491 bets |
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | No | 365 | 58.2¢ | $210 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 490 | 48.9¢ | $208 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | No | 350 | 57.0¢ | $201 | Proven+$9.58 per $100 · 496 bets |
| dylanatexe0xd6aa…af95 | No | 278 | 54.0¢ | $160 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 142 | 50.1¢ | $82 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 132 | 57.9¢ | $56 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 97 | 58.0¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 81 | 59.0¢ | $47 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 74 | 57.5¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| SakuraDevil0x0c3c…5eea | Yes | 100 | 40.0¢ | $42 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 42 | 49.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | Yes | 48 | 56.2¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | No | 31 | 45.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 40 | 48.4¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,596 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 40 | 56.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 36 | 48.3¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | Yes | 35 | 51.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 30 | 51.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $12 | — |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 24 | 47.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 743 bets |
| 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | 24 | 55.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.56 per $100 · 10,587 bets |
| arcjuice0x0ef9…8f58 | Yes | 24 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 24 | 48.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 23 | 42.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 16 | 2.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 14 | 53.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 46.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 8,012 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 13 | 50.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 13 | 43.7¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | Yes | 11 | 48.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 10 | 51.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 0x6e1e…98fc | Yes | 7 | 43.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe5ec…5c81 | Yes | 7 | 43.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | Yes | 6 | 48.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 45.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| ccyy20260x4282…3455 | Yes | 3 | 42.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| Char1230xe86a…ade5 | No | 2 | 58.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | Yes | 1 | 41.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | Yes | 1 | 52.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 1 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | 1 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 0 | 30.1¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| Jet90x8705…8354 | No | 0 | 54.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leo12130x05f7…22bc | No | 0 | 51.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wisadel0xc18e…44e3 | No | 0 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc214…9731 | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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