Rafael Grossi

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
2. §2Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
3. §3A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
4. §4Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
5. §5The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
6. §6Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves.
7. §7Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.