Market · 12 of 23 outcomes
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,667 | 88.8¢ | $2.31K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,106 bets |
| Hellboy-winner0x6045…7304 | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $173 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e |
| Yes |
| 1,206 |
| 20.2¢ |
| $163 |
| Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 186 | 83.0¢ | $161 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 113 | 86.0¢ | $98 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 66.0¢ | $87 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | No | 99 | 67.4¢ | $85 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 96 | 78.0¢ | $83 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 608 | 11.0¢ | $82 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 404 | 14.0¢ | $55 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 384 | 30.6¢ | $52 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 59 | 84.8¢ | $51 | New42 settled bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 54 | 87.0¢ | $47 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 51 | 85.5¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 300 | 15.0¢ | $41 | — |
| ferpalantir0xcd76…22eb | No | 32 | 78.6¢ | $28 | — |
| Compound-570xfd47…805a | No | 30 | 67.4¢ | $26 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 25 | 58.0¢ | $21 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 141 | 23.9¢ | $19 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| Ignitx0xab2a…27ee | No | 20 | 0.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 128 | 17.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 116 | 18.3¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 104 | 16.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 100 | 18.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| 0x3245…7139 | Yes | 99 | 19.1¢ | $13 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 86 | 17.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 12 | 83.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | No | 8 | 76.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 6 | 85.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$25.39 per $100 · 101 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 34 | 35.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 79.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 5 | 67.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 32 | 17.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x13e1…0805 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $3 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 21.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 21.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 10 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 1 | 88.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 1 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| yo20000x6417…8279 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xSundancer0xfdc3…f14e | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| canyouunderstand20x697d…b2a8 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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