Market · 16 of 23 outcomes
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 861 | 94.1¢ | $818 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,284 bets |
| PMTraderAdam0x1547…d066 | No | 400 | 94.0¢ | $380 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 300 | 94.0¢ | $285 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 156 | 93.0¢ | $148 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,102 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 51 | 95.0¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 402 | 5.0¢ | $20 | — |
11 more outcomes in this event.