Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 153 | 32.2¢ | $53 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 40 | 70.0¢ | $26 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 77.7¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 25 | 20.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 56,884 bets |
| Rhythm-of-Fate0xfe9f…8e23 | Yes | 20 | 42.0¢ | $7 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | Yes | 13 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 120.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $238K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.