Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will Otzma Yehudit win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 97.6¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 6 | 78.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 115 | 9.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 3 | 83.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 18.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 112.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $239K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.