Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will Otzma Yehudit win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 201 | 20.9¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 40 | 80.5¢ | $32 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $16 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Yes | 34 | 22.7¢ | $7 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 8 | 79.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 123.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $239K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.