4.5-5.5%

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?”.

1. §1Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
2. §2This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
3. §3The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.
4. §4Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
5. §5If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
6. §6If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
7. §7If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
8. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.