Market · 3 of 12 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 100 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 350 | 96.5¢ | $348 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,021 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 349 | 99.3¢ | $347 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0x9032…8717 | Yes | 31,749 | 1.7¢ | $190 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 1,720 bets |
| Davidbill0x6a2f…7105 | No | 175 | 99.1¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 865 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 24,597 | 1.2¢ | $148 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 21,359 | 0.4¢ | $128 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x8e5d…e77c | No | 102 | 98.6¢ | $101 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 79 | 98.9¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 12,770 | 4.6¢ | $77 | Proven+$9.93 per $100 · 326 bets |
| interisthebest0x6edb…a7c7 | No | 69 | 95.9¢ | $68 | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 111 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 50 | 96.9¢ | $50 | New39 settled bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 7,926 | 1.2¢ | $48 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 94.3¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x251b…5c75 | No | 36 | 50.0¢ | $36 | — |
| knii0x5692…ac88 | No | 31 | 95.9¢ | $31 | — |
| coali100x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | 4,463 | 1.0¢ | $27 | Positive+$4.11 per $100 · 400 bets |
| 0xbaf9…9f0e | No | 26 | 95.9¢ | $26 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 4,044 | 1.1¢ | $24 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 4,014 | 2.2¢ | $24 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0xde83…1b5e | No | 24 | 94.3¢ | $24 | — |
| ddfsfwe0xc96b…b30b | No | 23 | 98.5¢ | $23 | — |
| 478880x04a5…3236 | No | 21 | 95.2¢ | $21 | — |
| nailon0x47bf…c4a3 | No | 21 | 95.2¢ | $21 | — |
| anna2590xdb5d…57c4 | No | 21 | 97.3¢ | $20 | — |
| z5840xc331…b629 | No | 20 | 98.5¢ | $20 | — |
| N0487220x2af4…8bc5 | No | 20 | 99.2¢ | $20 | — |
| nukr0xf563…0429 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 357570xafa0…3edb | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| w1240x6157…05cc | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | — |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 3,247 | 2.1¢ | $19 | New30 settled bets |
| BOOMmk30x3114…4504 | Yes | 3,125 | 0.8¢ | $19 | — |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 3,037 | 0.9¢ | $18 | — |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | 2,969 | 1.0¢ | $18 | New44 settled bets |
| gfjftghfdg0x17fa…cc95 | No | 17 | 99.1¢ | $17 | — |
| alphogomi0x8351…5861 | No | 17 | 97.1¢ | $17 | — |
| mikecoin10x34b0…d620 | No | 17 | 98.2¢ | $17 | Proven+$5.87 per $100 · 253 bets |
| 0x25b3…6963 | No | 15 | 96.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x9bea…aa5d | Yes | 2,224 | 0.9¢ | $13 | — |
| BIBIber0x2dd2…800b | No | 13 | 97.8¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x2a45…8bf3 | No | 13 | 96.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xc0f4…e44c | No | 13 | 96.0¢ | $13 | — |
| NomadAlex0x311d…5357 | No | 13 | 96.9¢ | $13 | — |
| FrankG47280x7b3a…c1fb | Yes | 2,072 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$21.74 per $100 · 232 bets |
| tralalalerotralala0x8032…4230 | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Tresut940xb379…7364 | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $12 | — |
| trebula0xe5e1…f089 | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc57b…8281 | Yes | 1,825 | 3.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x292a…9398 | No | 11 | 95.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x8387…37df | No | 11 | 95.0¢ | $11 | — |
| werni0xfaf6…a79a | No | 11 | 98.4¢ | $11 | — |
| kilima0x1574…7b2a | Yes | 1,769 | 1.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x27bd…72d5 | Yes | 1,765 | 1.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Kasjo0x1b4d…8358 | No | 11 | 94.8¢ | $10 | — |
| changeWorld0xf5bc…5cd4 | No | 10 | 96.7¢ | $10 | — |
| etui0xc5cf…4115 | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 99the0x59dc…0370 | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x15a0…ae9d | No | 10 | 95.3¢ | $10 | — |
| jach310x413d…0db8 | No | 10 | 98.5¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,222 bets |
| 0x43ae…e096 | No | 10 | 95.3¢ | $10 | — |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | — |
| gyyssv0x9cf4…2369 | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Violet30580xea42…86d3 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa8f9…2573 | Yes | 1,492 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x190e…e9f8 | No | 9 | 96.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Trolli0xa4fd…71a5 | No | 8 | 97.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | Yes | 1,348 | 1.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
| 0x876d…79d7 | No | 8 | 95.9¢ | $8 | — |
| shakethemoff0x756c…c7bb | No | 7 | 94.7¢ | $7 | — |
| pouu630x8d68…e248 | No | 7 | 96.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x5e9b…1e50 | Yes | 1,176 | 1.8¢ | $7 | New78 settled bets |
| 0x4f9f…7f43 | Yes | 1,118 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | 1,075 | 1.0¢ | $6 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 1,003 | 1.3¢ | $6 | New0 settled bets |
| allen8220x88b3…9ca3 | Yes | 1,000 | 2.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | Yes | 985 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.08 per $100 · 927 bets |
| Leomgz0x9d1a…a472 | Yes | 843 | 1.2¢ | $5 | — |
| avmsh0x4352…c794 | Yes | 804 | 2.6¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 737 | 2.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | Yes | 729 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 700 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 621 | 4.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$16.32 per $100 · 485 bets |
| 0xf627…fba2 | Yes | 600 | 3.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Alek.RP060xfa4e…a385 | Yes | 592 | 1.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x911b…a7fe | Yes | 580 | 3.6¢ | $3 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 564 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 562 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| 0x4c3e…403a | Yes | 533 | 1.9¢ | $3 | — |
| doggyman0xaade…8615 | Yes | 522 | 5.7¢ | $3 | — |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 517 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 505 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x597f…702c | Yes | 479 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa638…56bb | Yes | 429 | 1.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xdb64…f38b | Yes | 419 | 2.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 390 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| noarthur0x2856…fe07 | Yes | 342 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| soren.xyz0x3263…20c9 | Yes | 333 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa103…5b48 | Yes | 333 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 279 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| DoloresZ0x0238…eb0b | Yes | 276 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 203 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.