Market · 3 of 15 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,715 | 91.3¢ | $1.56K | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 14,826 | 11.3¢ | $1.36K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 11,886 | 13.2¢ | $1.09K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 10,242 | 9.8¢ | $942 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 9,795 | 10.7¢ | $901 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 554 | 93.8¢ | $503 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 4,467 | 6.8¢ | $411 | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 450 | 87.0¢ | $409 | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 4,011 | 7.0¢ | $369 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| crop?0xe308…309c | Yes | 3,948 | 10.6¢ | $363 | — |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 350 | 90.0¢ | $318 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 3,056 | 5.1¢ | $281 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| JungPung0x6339…ad29 | Yes | 3,000 | 6.1¢ | $276 | Positive+$57.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 2,382 | 3.8¢ | $219 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| 0x8747…551a | Yes | 2,342 | 10.8¢ | $215 | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 236 | 87.8¢ | $214 | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| akum40xe393…8364 | No | 220 | 81.2¢ | $200 | — |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 2,026 | 6.1¢ | $186 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 88.6¢ | $182 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 1,888 | 19.9¢ | $174 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 180 | 85.2¢ | $163 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| cp01cmt0xca47…01ce | Yes | 1,758 | 23.5¢ | $162 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 177 | 90.1¢ | $161 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | No | 176 | 89.8¢ | $160 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| Brovadana0xb2ef…da30 | Yes | 1,442 | 14.2¢ | $133 | — |
| CannabisBoy0xe29e…bbc5 | Yes | 1,400 | 6.5¢ | $129 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 135 | 93.6¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 1,299 | 4.5¢ | $120 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| Artyre0xb8b1…ac9a | Yes | 1,275 | 24.2¢ | $117 | — |
| 0xa317…97ae | Yes | 1,262 | 8.2¢ | $116 | — |
| Csquaredcapital0x7281…7e70 | Yes | 1,261 | 11.5¢ | $116 | — |
| Djibooty0x9690…f2d5 | No | 125 | 0.0¢ | $113 | — |
| 0x2ca9…fe9c | No | 121 | 89.1¢ | $110 | — |
| G8RQxf3vBMVT0xa2da…81c3 | Yes | 1,081 | 5.3¢ | $99 | — |
| montrealjazz0xb11b…a68b | Yes | 1,000 | 12.7¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x8c07…2967 | Yes | 999 | 6.3¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x21a7…bce1 | Yes | 962 | 11.5¢ | $89 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 92 | 90.3¢ | $83 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| MWM0x3b37…6962 | Yes | 850 | 12.2¢ | $78 | Losing−$9.08 per $100 · 199 bets |
| sawyer27180x3b0e…6348 | Yes | 800 | 9.0¢ | $74 | — |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 80 | 89.0¢ | $73 | — |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 777 | 4.2¢ | $71 | New77 settled bets |
| Ru3860x1d60…453d | Yes | 772 | 26.7¢ | $71 | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 6,655 bets |
| TRADER4200x80cf…614d | Yes | 764 | 18.5¢ | $70 | Proven+$8.29 per $100 · 270 bets |
| 9AI90xb0c8…7d91 | Yes | 730 | 9.9¢ | $67 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 710 | 9.9¢ | $65 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| AlwaysTimed0x13c2…b7c8 | Yes | 697 | 11.7¢ | $64 | New37 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 650 | 6.9¢ | $60 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 630 | 9.4¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| ARES694200xcf3f…6d9e | Yes | 625 | 10.0¢ | $57 | — |
| SlayerH0x17e4…4d33 | Yes | 624 | 21.3¢ | $57 | Losing−$7.61 per $100 · 480 bets |
| sewss0x10cd…1094 | Yes | 578 | 9.0¢ | $53 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 507 | 3.5¢ | $47 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| betmandown0x1a3d…fea1 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $46 | — |
| KalungaHD0x7f5f…5985 | Yes | 500 | 22.1¢ | $46 | Losing−$10.71 per $100 · 456 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 500 | 5.0¢ | $46 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| jpurd170x8473…70ef | Yes | 491 | 21.0¢ | $45 | New30 settled bets |
| kokofai0xf1b4…8383 | Yes | 455 | 11.4¢ | $42 | — |
| Ogre-Magi0x99f0…649f | No | 45 | 88.0¢ | $41 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 425 | 7.4¢ | $39 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,445+ bets · updating |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 43 | 90.1¢ | $39 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 43 | 93.6¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 400 | 10.3¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 6,282 bets |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | 400 | 12.0¢ | $37 | New44 settled bets |
| jiamaoweilue0x0fcc…00fd | Yes | 400 | 10.0¢ | $37 | — |
| 9B150xde3c…0385 | No | 40 | 90.0¢ | $36 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 380 | 3.1¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x3175…9bb2 | Yes | 362 | 7.0¢ | $33 | — |
| caimy0xfac6…014f | No | 35 | 90.4¢ | $32 | — |
| 0x5533…8220 | Yes | 343 | 15.1¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xd819…2d80 | No | 30 | 89.4¢ | $27 | — |
| RandomWalker30x9276…37a3 | No | 29 | 87.5¢ | $26 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 28 | 90.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 28 | 90.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | No | 19 | 89.1¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 18 | 90.4¢ | $16 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 112 | 9.6¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| Amosi0x444f…0d49 | No | 8 | 92.3¢ | $7 | — |
| JEndo0xfb58…39e5 | No | 8 | 89.8¢ | $7 | — |
| goldisoverrated0x1617…d790 | No | 7 | 89.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 3,861 bets |
| fi5h0xe450…91b9 | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9953…51f6 | No | 5 | 87.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf600…8836 | No | 5 | 94.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 4 | 92.0¢ | $4 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 4 | 92.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 4 | 89.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 4 | 80.0¢ | $4 | — |
| oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e00xb2a3…79e0 | No | 4 | 90.0¢ | $3 | — |
| OmeadAzadeh0x962e…1d75 | No | 4 | 88.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa84e…2abf | No | 3 | 89.4¢ | $3 | — |
| jy-010x8a48…08c5 | No | 3 | 90.4¢ | $3 | — |
| strashnyleytenant0xc020…a53b | No | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | — |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | No | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xcd73…d2e6 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3338190xabeb…8698 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Onejamdjali0x93d2…1778 | Yes | 7 | 25.8¢ | $1 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 1 | 7.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 150 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.