Market · 1 of 8 outcomes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfree-money0xb47a…6d60 | Yes | 175,287 | 70.8¢ | $136K | New47 settled bets |
| Cptrade0xb187…44a9 | Yes | 30,080 | 57.3¢ | $23.3K | — |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | Yes | 15,267 | 67.1¢ | $11.8K | Proven+$3.09 per $100 · 1,520 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,625 | 66.6¢ | $9.78K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| gdbl0xd45f…c086 | Yes | 11,313 | 72.2¢ | $8.77K | — |
| Noahrichards980xe57a…e196 | Yes | 10,039 | 67.8¢ | $7.78K | New35 settled bets |
| jackpan10240x37b8…7102 | Yes | 6,663 | 76.9¢ | $5.16K | New13 settled bets |
| QIAOmain0x46f6…b9d6 | Yes | 5,833 | 72.6¢ | $4.52K | New8 settled bets |
| EvanCross0x6d38…382c | Yes | 5,323 | 65.6¢ | $4.13K | Losing−$9.25 per $100 · 150 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 17,807 | 30.9¢ | $4.01K | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| TheDowIsOver50Thousand0x9ca1…13ea | Yes | 4,866 | 77.3¢ | $3.77K | — |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | No | 16,442 | 56.8¢ | $3.7K | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
| asymptoticnormality0x66d1…b9ff | Yes | 4,703 | 59.4¢ | $3.64K | New60 settled bets |
| jotavea.inc0x53e9…d896 | Yes | 4,298 | 68.1¢ | $3.33K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 791 bets |
| mikiikkahhvdud0x8b7b…9ab9 | Yes | 4,005 | 78.1¢ | $3.1K | — |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | Yes | 4,000 | 80.0¢ | $3.1K | New98 settled bets |
| Saldivva0x9e46…24de | Yes | 3,977 | 67.8¢ | $3.08K | — |
| garywinston0x3731…9afc | Yes | 3,812 | 65.2¢ | $2.95K | New88 settled bets |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | No | 12,927 | 20.3¢ | $2.91K | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 3,681 | 60.9¢ | $2.85K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 562 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 3,450 | 70.1¢ | $2.67K | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| 0x7d3e…3074 | Yes | 3,359 | 60.5¢ | $2.6K | New19 settled bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | Yes | 3,340 | 79.7¢ | $2.59K | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| callmeabunny0x5238…be0d | Yes | 3,255 | 69.0¢ | $2.52K | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 362 bets |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | Yes | 3,214 | 28.0¢ | $2.49K | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| pandamann0xc809…14dd | Yes | 2,969 | 68.2¢ | $2.3K | — |
| apmt0x328d…f7a9 | Yes | 2,960 | 77.3¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$9.98 per $100 · 114 bets |
| wazeeeeee0x6841…6e1f | Yes | 2,960 | 73.0¢ | $2.29K | New32 settled bets |
| aiwar0x277e…7d32 | Yes | 2,950 | 85.5¢ | $2.29K | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 293 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 2,810 | 42.6¢ | $2.18K | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| Cbb.0x5e84…8e88 | Yes | 2,800 | 74.2¢ | $2.17K | Losing−$9.94 per $100 · 502 bets |
| IDKAAA0xad06…bb94 | Yes | 2,762 | 78.5¢ | $2.14K | — |
| 0x8dszc153187wmy0x5cc5…b83a | Yes | 2,687 | 48.0¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$9.27 per $100 · 5,082 bets |
| 0x7a6c…5048 | Yes | 2,674 | 71.5¢ | $2.07K | New41 settled bets |
| 333blacksea0x373f…1878 | Yes | 2,658 | 58.7¢ | $2.06K | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 216 bets |
| frankfika0x14a9…98b0 | Yes | 2,613 | 80.7¢ | $2.02K | New97 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,417 | 71.8¢ | $1.87K | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,318 | 67.1¢ | $1.8K | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| gdesro210x4044…3a8d | Yes | 2,155 | 72.3¢ | $1.67K | New29 settled bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 2,134 | 83.1¢ | $1.65K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,150 bets |
| F210x32f6…9538 | Yes | 2,134 | 69.7¢ | $1.65K | Losing−$6.98 per $100 · 328 bets |
| Thomyorke0x07cf…2ada | Yes | 2,098 | 38.5¢ | $1.63K | New13 settled bets |
| Blackcatmoney0xdc1c…5b1c | Yes | 2,078 | 77.9¢ | $1.61K | — |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 7,071 | 48.8¢ | $1.59K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 7,000 | 24.0¢ | $1.57K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 2,000 | 71.9¢ | $1.55K | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 6,762 | 24.6¢ | $1.52K | Proven+$13.26 per $100 · 1,733 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | 1,894 | 83.2¢ | $1.47K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,672 bets |
| 0x9b02…826a | Yes | 1,504 | 75.9¢ | $1.17K | — |
| gonster0x8f22…3f6c | Yes | 1,427 | 65.0¢ | $1.11K | — |
| JackIsGambling0xdd3d…6542 | Yes | 1,381 | 61.0¢ | $1.07K | — |
| 0x043e…1e20 | Yes | 1,357 | 74.4¢ | $1.05K | New27 settled bets |
| Pmarket-2860x5e68…a66a | Yes | 1,217 | 74.7¢ | $943 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x0afa…e66d | Yes | 1,212 | 69.2¢ | $939 | New26 settled bets |
| 0xf3f0…39c5 | Yes | 1,209 | 43.1¢ | $937 | — |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | Yes | 1,200 | 58.9¢ | $930 | — |
| 0x8605…aa83 | No | 2,838 | 45.2¢ | $639 | New4 settled bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 2,370 | 31.5¢ | $533 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 2,300 | 23.0¢ | $517 | — |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | No | 1,905 | 41.4¢ | $429 | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
| the-contrarian0xedc6…20fc | No | 1,783 | 27.4¢ | $401 | — |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | No | 1,555 | 19.0¢ | $350 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 1,925 bets |
| Copyright-10x235e…5673 | No | 1,500 | 33.4¢ | $337 | Losing−$4.42 per $100 · 2,197 bets |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | No | 1,428 | 24.9¢ | $321 | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,426 | 14.5¢ | $321 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| bbbbbbxianggggg0x0538…e483 | No | 1,293 | 28.9¢ | $291 | New6 settled bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 1,274 | 18.9¢ | $287 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | No | 1,273 | 44.1¢ | $286 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | No | 1,190 | 21.0¢ | $268 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 9,228 bets |
| Frankeethecat0x13e0…c5ca | No | 1,136 | 73.6¢ | $256 | New47 settled bets |
| WuAhUuU0xac0e…c0bf | No | 905 | 28.4¢ | $204 | Losing−$21.54 per $100 · 124 bets |
| 0x0218…41ae | No | 879 | 32.3¢ | $198 | New92 settled bets |
| 0xb72e…49e4 | No | 700 | 40.2¢ | $157 | New34 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 698 | 21.7¢ | $157 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 688 | 15.6¢ | $155 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,613 bets |
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | No | 653 | 17.0¢ | $147 | — |
| bennycwl0xe7f8…2bed | No | 652 | 31.5¢ | $147 | — |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | No | 600 | 23.7¢ | $135 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 531 | 18.2¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 500 | 39.0¢ | $113 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| ThalisGr0xf083…5558 | No | 500 | 20.6¢ | $113 | — |
| hugopalma0xf6b2…84ba | No | 456 | 56.3¢ | $103 | — |
| tshorter0xd20f…abc1 | No | 413 | 34.4¢ | $93 | — |
| 0x2aeb…1ecb | No | 410 | 35.2¢ | $92 | New96 settled bets |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | No | 400 | 27.6¢ | $90 | — |
| ruslanbes0x66a5…56cb | No | 400 | 30.9¢ | $90 | Proven+$3.80 per $100 · 337 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 386 | 40.5¢ | $87 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| 0x800b…3bd6 | No | 370 | 27.8¢ | $83 | New17 settled bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 300 | 17.0¢ | $68 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | No | 294 | 17.6¢ | $66 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 1,493 bets |
| youga20170x83a1…def9 | No | 275 | 55.4¢ | $62 | New50 settled bets |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | No | 250 | 31.0¢ | $56 | New43 settled bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 232 | 16.5¢ | $52 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,975 bets |
| Babbage0x10d4…589a | No | 215 | 22.7¢ | $48 | New23 settled bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 201 | 15.0¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| G-Int-Demo0x12b8…cb63 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $45 | — |
| m0728prodtest10x3310…2ebe | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $45 | New30 settled bets |
| airdropper0x4fd8…af91 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $45 | Positive+$3.16 per $100 · 757 bets |
| IvanG20010xe865…ae26 | Yes | 8 | 62.9¢ | $6 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 258 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.