Market · 22 of 30 outcomes
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 19,808 | 0.1¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x009c…c09d | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 4,810 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.