Market · 4 of 30 outcomes
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
18 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 97.7¢ | $496 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| peivon980x2e68…6898 | No | 112 | 99.3¢ | $111 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 8,753 | 1.7¢ | $74 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| okwtfok0x2948…788a | Yes | 6,726 | 1.3¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x9f4c…14dd | Yes | 5,872 | 1.7¢ | $50 | New75 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 5,368 | 1.0¢ | $46 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.