Market · 9 of 30 outcomes
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
18 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 337 | 96.9¢ | $336 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 130 | 98.2¢ | $130 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 83 | 99.3¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xb223…156b | Yes | 21,737 | 0.6¢ | $76 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 11,266 | 0.3¢ | $39 | New71 settled bets |
| Spirit-LT0x1851…ae47 | Yes | 7,190 | 0.2¢ | $25 | Positive+$4.05 per $100 · 1,811 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.