Market · 8 of 30 outcomes
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 337 | 96.9¢ | $336 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 130 | 98.2¢ | $130 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 83 | 99.3¢ | $83 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xb223…156b | Yes | 21,737 | 0.6¢ | $76 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 11,266 | 0.3¢ | $39 | New71 settled bets |
| Spirit-LT0x1851…ae47 | Yes | 7,190 | 0.2¢ | $25 | Positive+$4.05 per $100 · 1,811 bets |
| Natalie74250x8da5…ae15 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Chegildek0xbcc2…8c9a | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xe47a…ce38 | No | 8 | 99.8¢ | $8 | — |
| katann0x0347…7688 | Yes | 2,000 | 1.4¢ | $7 | — |
| GracjanSz0x41b8…aceb | No | 6 | 97.8¢ | $6 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,520 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| asw3010x5176…a77b | Yes | 1,514 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Mike5520x3940…28f1 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 5 | 96.1¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| totalvaluelost0x44cb…7061 | Yes | 1,476 | 3.0¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,229 | 1.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| Zachary24450x414d…5626 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 4 | 96.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 917 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 615 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 596 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 575 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| gem3040x1396…21a6 | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 424 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ragrazila0xf638…1611 | Yes | 406 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Pineappleeee0x5383…3fa5 | Yes | 400 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 12lddd0xf503…39e2 | No | 1 | 95.7¢ | $1 | — |
| DuneTrader790xd7d6…4336 | Yes | 357 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinMwa0x6cdf…12d4 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7172…102a | Yes | 278 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| zzyber0xbe14…d255 | Yes | 250 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| tobimateu0x33ae…b13e | Yes | 200 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 174 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 146 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 130 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| 0xf77d…e98f | Yes | 127 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x71cb…2516 | Yes | 116 | 1.7¢ | $0 | New41 settled bets |
| Thevet500xa78f…27d7 | Yes | 115 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 110 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | 106 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8b42…273b | Yes | 100 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 96 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0x81fd…15ff | Yes | 95 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbcc8…4f89 | Yes | 92 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Bikesarethebest0x0a6d…1d0a | No | 0 | 90.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.92 per $100 · 12,041 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 88 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 86 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 77 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Risky-MooLa0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | 73 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 71 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 67 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| homay.PA0xdf0a…0829 | Yes | 67 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 63 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| annakarl0x0707…310a | Yes | 52 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| blablabel0xd34d…b5c3 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.