Market · 10 of 30 outcomes
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 98.5¢ | $499 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 112 | 95.3¢ | $112 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| bdgurdj0xc418…17c7 | No | 34 | 95.2¢ | $34 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 8,106 | 0.3¢ | $24 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| Frenonski0xf784…ab48 | No | 20 | 98.9¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | Yes | 6,601 | 1.8¢ | $20 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
18 more outcomes in this event.