Market · 10 of 30 outcomes
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 98.5¢ | $499 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 112 | 95.3¢ | $112 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| bdgurdj0xc418…17c7 | No | 34 | 95.2¢ | $34 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 8,106 | 0.3¢ | $24 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| Frenonski0xf784…ab48 | No | 20 | 98.9¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | Yes | 6,601 | 1.8¢ | $20 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 5,523 | 0.6¢ | $17 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| Canti0x58ac…d9e3 | Yes | 5,070 | 3.5¢ | $15 | — |
| CybrMadHatter0x5db4…29c1 | Yes | 4,703 | 2.4¢ | $14 | — |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 4,444 | 0.5¢ | $13 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| longer4longer0x618c…0f4e | Yes | 3,793 | 0.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Brandon82860x8797…3d21 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| OliverCK0xc71b…1bc4 | No | 8 | 96.4¢ | $8 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 2,688 | 1.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,502 bets |
| Liam83760xc197…6b22 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x60cd…3ea0 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Mahmomar0x263f…b621 | Yes | 1,704 | 0.9¢ | $5 | New74 settled bets |
| 0x7810…1f4b | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.3¢ | $4 | New71 settled bets |
| Eddan0x34ba…5d1e | Yes | 1,226 | 2.4¢ | $4 | — |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 1,036 | 0.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| ZZ-TIC-M10x2a44…52b5 | Yes | 1,000 | 2.1¢ | $3 | New36 settled bets |
| 12lddd0xf503…39e2 | No | 3 | 90.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 906 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x07eb…1f7f | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| jakwork0x8ae9…4eec | Yes | 800 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 788 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| NicoleHarris10xa9b5…af5e | No | 2 | 99.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 591 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 584 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Jettet0x4c60…b1cd | No | 2 | 97.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Kent7770x1463…ce78 | Yes | 428 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 242 bets |
| wilkegin0xb14c…7bdb | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mhgbff0xbee9…ad90 | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| C49jopku0xa4df…2f04 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Mitherandir0xd990…4349 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| fabric-snow0x79da…80e9 | No | 1 | 97.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ssssss12230x9cfd…dfe7 | No | 1 | 89.2¢ | $1 | — |
| YossiDamam0x25df…6fff | Yes | 300 | 3.7¢ | $1 | New81 settled bets |
| 0x4b0e…0677 | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $1 | New63 settled bets |
| CooneyPoy0x93c6…013d | Yes | 287 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 283 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 251 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| 0x79ee…ffa2 | Yes | 250 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 219 | 4.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0x551b…b47e | No | 1 | 96.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 355 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 200 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Fullgreg70xb067…5081 | Yes | 161 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | 146 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 143 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Palladin0xdcd9…35d4 | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Chegildek0xbcc2…8c9a | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe49b…8973 | Yes | 129 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a40…599e | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.25 per $100 · 4,466 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 105 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| Arifalbolushi0x282f…55aa | Yes | 102 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0xe38a…f2c3 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x73a4…6e8c | Yes | 83 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VinceLang0xfbc8…eb14 | Yes | 76 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 75 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 71 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Tankista0x21d2…245f | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| 0x3cff…6fbd | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | 51 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 46 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cec…19dd | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| 65ebohiv0x4fd1…43c8 | No | 0 | 97.9¢ | $0 | — |
| pollopollu0x7c83…d800 | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 1ltaitqo0x01d1…700d | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sae9p74c0x0a1b…0a75 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| og2kyfgu0x0b33…9426 | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | — |
| kj1v97mz0x130c…bcd0 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mbfm0fvp0x3f6d…57c2 | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 175 bets |
| 6zbia0s40x5fb8…36bc | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 5oz3qi8l0x73fc…cee4 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0mogdn320x7adb…06e8 | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 08j7dc3b0x909f…f5aa | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 57ftba550x9fe5…b2f2 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
| a4qu33ax0xa0bc…cb49 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mbujau570xb50c…207b | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 4mhgauyf0xbb8f…7047 | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 8f2dd6u80xc005…16bd | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| OKASME0xcb4f…d275 | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.