Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | No | 1,800 | 63.2¢ | $1.13K | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| LimitOrderLarry0x2568…ef92 | Yes | 2,840 | 39.5¢ | $1.06K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| howstheweather0x47f7…0312 | Yes | 2,000 | 38.0¢ | $750 | — |
| paddapadda0x93c2…08e0 | Yes | 2,000 | 38.0¢ | $750 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,981 | 18.2¢ | $743 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| Mon6760x034a…e968 | Yes | 1,663 | 37.1¢ | $624 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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