Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 3,757 | 0.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$26.12 per $100 · 119 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 960 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| Hot-SkullHomelessBegger0xcee6…8233 | Yes | 787 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| TheJewishHammer0x2cc1…3e21 | Yes | 730 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 611 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,453 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.