Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a.weidel0x0213…82f6 | Yes | 3,757 | 0.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$26.12 per $100 · 119 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 960 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| Hot-SkullHomelessBegger0xcee6…8233 | Yes | 787 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| TheJewishHammer0x2cc1…3e21 | Yes | 730 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 611 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,526 bets |
| 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | 538 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Chipppen0xcb02…11ed | Yes | 535 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 507 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,341 bets |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 488 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 251 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 0x1281…d8c2 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| paddapadda0x93c2…08e0 | Yes | 240 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| enigmaexpert0x6727…2ac7 | Yes | 211 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| testname123450x44c7…a8ee | Yes | 150 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 127 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| FPTest0xd18e…a378 | Yes | 111 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 110 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.67 per $100 · 14,801 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,944 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 83 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 80 | 21.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 75 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,756 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 65 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 58 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 25 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 19 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| pmiralles0x1e99…7ade | Yes | 19 | 11.3¢ | $0 | — |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 11 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 2 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1c34…02cd | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.