Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenith-Nadir0x5d86…5073 | Yes | 4,235 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 2,427 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,403 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,453 bets |
| 0x4e3c…2a42 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 600 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 507 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 5 outcomes add up to 102.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.