Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3db…0f98 | No | 5,555 | 80.0¢ | $5.08K | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 405 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 5,000 | 88.0¢ | $4.58K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | No | 3,418 | 84.9¢ | $3.13K | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 2,500 | 88.0¢ | $2.29K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 1,311 | 84.6¢ | $1.2K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| RdogTest0x9908…062c | No | 982 | 87.6¢ | $899 | — |