Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 13,444 | 88.1¢ | $12.2K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 9,636 | 84.0¢ | $8.72K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 2,267 | 84.1¢ | $2.05K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | No | 2,013 | 90.1¢ | $1.82K | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| betwick0xc851…cd2a | Yes | 16,468 | 15.2¢ | $1.56K | Proven+$5.31 per $100 · 770 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,591 | 86.0¢ | $1.44K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |