Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 13,444 | 88.1¢ | $12.2K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 9,636 | 84.0¢ | $8.72K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 2,267 | 84.1¢ | $2.05K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | No | 2,013 | 90.1¢ | $1.82K | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| betwick0xc851…cd2a | Yes | 16,468 | 15.2¢ | $1.56K | Proven+$5.31 per $100 · 770 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,591 | 86.0¢ | $1.44K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,098 bets |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 1,300 | 86.8¢ | $1.18K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | No | 1,122 | 75.4¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 855 | 84.4¢ | $774 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | 7,432 | 20.3¢ | $706 | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 500 | 87.0¢ | $453 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 363 | 87.2¢ | $328 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 3,040 | 15.6¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| apple-pi0xaf23…aa95 | Yes | 2,505 | 30.0¢ | $238 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 878 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 230 | 80.4¢ | $208 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,726 | 12.5¢ | $164 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 176 | 63.0¢ | $159 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 152 | 90.0¢ | $138 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| TheBud0xd4c7…9f6a | No | 150 | 79.0¢ | $136 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 147 | 80.0¢ | $133 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | No | 142 | 85.9¢ | $128 | — |
| RdogTest0x9908…062c | No | 116 | 89.0¢ | $105 | — |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 101 | 78.0¢ | $92 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $91 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| dfupagain0x768f…c7bd | No | 100 | 60.0¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,358 bets |
| HardZix0xf30a…3583 | No | 100 | 71.9¢ | $91 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 60 | 91.0¢ | $54 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| pollybond0x224d…e0e7 | No | 50 | 61.0¢ | $45 | New16 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 48 | 79.7¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 403 | 10.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 400 | 10.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 400 | 28.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 359 | 11.4¢ | $34 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | No | 35 | 86.5¢ | $31 | — |
| 420120xba8d…009d | Yes | 299 | 11.1¢ | $28 | — |
| badatthis0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | 266 | 13.6¢ | $25 | Proven+$6.72 per $100 · 6,681 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 254 | 10.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 250 | 10.2¢ | $24 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| TANGO8530x70ca…2443 | Yes | 200 | 27.0¢ | $19 | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 200 | 30.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| 0805260x9ad7…4084 | No | 18 | 88.7¢ | $17 | — |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 18 | 90.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 12 | 84.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$25.76 per $100 · 100 bets |
| nmnr0xcb86…feda | No | 12 | 86.9¢ | $11 | — |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| EndofBeginning880x7828…381b | No | 8 | 86.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | Yes | 78 | 19.5¢ | $7 | — |
| goldfinch-cz0xd7a4…8229 | Yes | 71 | 28.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x423e…d872 | Yes | 65 | 16.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 62 | 24.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 417 bets |
| tradingBot4340x28ff…c1e7 | No | 6 | 85.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd2a9…71d8 | No | 6 | 89.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ArthurGreen0xd5db…3c45 | No | 5 | 73.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 1,000 bets |
| rabbbygoodod0xe362…602b | Yes | 50 | 31.0¢ | $5 | — |
| BoberKurwaYaPerdole0x4618…f25e | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $5 | — |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 5 | 79.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| frenchflair30xbe6d…fb55 | Yes | 42 | 19.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | Yes | 40 | 28.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 40 | 28.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 36 | 18.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| joennis0xd85d…3700 | Yes | 30 | 24.2¢ | $3 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 30 | 16.5¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| wJhraCcPrd46Tjla0x0b2e…bb34 | Yes | 29 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 29 | 15.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| lyih830xa56c…2a4a | No | 3 | 75.0¢ | $2 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 22 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 536 bets |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 15 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| HunchexBot0x5f40…6e9e | No | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Koizainas0xa636…3c2f | Yes | 13 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Shekel0x3e56…35d5 | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | — |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 85.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| BobbyBrant0x9028…8608 | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| umbrella-labs0x860c…418d | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| fresh0xd064…c4d1 | Yes | 10 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 8 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0b07…757b | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3579…0179 | Yes | 6 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7234…6c9d | Yes | 6 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x847c…dffd | Yes | 6 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x811e…8b18 | Yes | 3 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x383c…325e | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 2 | 11.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| wapplegate0x2132…acbe | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | Yes | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | 0 | 12.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| QUUN0x0f99…6734 | Yes | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.