Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 3,300 | 92.0¢ | $3.15K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | No | 3,000 | 88.0¢ | $2.87K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 2,867 | 93.8¢ | $2.74K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 460 | 88.8¢ | $439 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| tywed0xc8e3…6fb0 | No | 230 | 88.0¢ | $220 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 195 | 88.0¢ | $186 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |