Market · 13 of 36 outcomes
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 471 | 97.0¢ | $448 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 254 | 95.2¢ | $241 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 |
| No |
| 133 |
| 93.7¢ |
| $127 |
| New69 settled bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 100 | 96.4¢ | $95 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 28 | 95.0¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 518 | 3.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play