Market · 12 of 36 outcomes
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 471 | 97.0¢ | $448 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 254 | 95.2¢ | $241 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 133 | 93.7¢ | $127 | New69 settled bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 100 | 96.4¢ | $95 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 28 | 95.0¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 518 | 3.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| VladimirK19880x63ca…4bdf | No | 25 | 95.5¢ | $24 | New44 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 249 | 2.3¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x3aee…a04a | No | 11 | 98.1¢ | $10 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0xe750…4850 | No | 9 | 98.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9168…b224 | No | 9 | 98.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 64 | 1.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x57b9…0464 | No | 3 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 5.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 51 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| 0x0ab4…7d63 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4e1d…3fbf | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7077…7a71 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3ff0…4a80 | No | 2 | 98.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8d3a…c755 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xce9c…8d4e | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6173…3645 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xee6a…b75c | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa7d5…8343 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x52bb…593e | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 25 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| 0xe9bd…d5bb | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac74…2d47 | No | 1 | 98.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6fd4…0637 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc748…d200 | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 1 | 95.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | Yes | 7 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | Yes | 3 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 68sfds0x9a5b…acf6 | Yes | 3 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play