Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 22,271 | 32.3¢ | $9.47K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 17,991 | 38.8¢ | $7.65K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 16,253 | 28.4¢ | $6.91K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | Yes | 10,298 | 38.2¢ | $4.38K | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 6,187 | 68.9¢ | $3.56K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 7,509 | 37.7¢ | $3.19K | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| ImBruceWayne0x0097…4a1d | Yes | 7,060 | 9.0¢ | $3K | Proven+$53.98 per $100 · 416 bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | No | 3,471 | 60.9¢ | $2K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | No | 3,378 | 56.0¢ | $1.94K | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | $1.81K | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 4,196 | 21.8¢ | $1.78K | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 4,000 | 42.6¢ | $1.7K | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 3,771 | 16.5¢ | $1.6K | — |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | Yes | 3,618 | 10.1¢ | $1.54K | — |
| Avotoast0xcddc…a8cf | Yes | 3,213 | 12.0¢ | $1.37K | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 2,293 | 56.5¢ | $1.32K | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | Yes | 3,000 | 40.0¢ | $1.27K | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 2,146 | 60.9¢ | $1.23K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,963 | 62.8¢ | $1.13K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | 2,324 | 24.8¢ | $988 | — |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 2,302 | 42.5¢ | $978 | — |
| xneguvxo3510x17d8…e57a | Yes | 2,000 | 12.0¢ | $850 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,859 | 38.1¢ | $790 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 1,392 | 26.0¢ | $591 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| 0x8c07…2967 | No | 1,010 | 62.9¢ | $581 | — |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 1,148 | 6.0¢ | $488 | New77 settled bets |
| 0x9e24…7e71 | No | 826 | 57.7¢ | $475 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 701 bets |
| 0xd84b…0df3 | No | 814 | 62.3¢ | $468 | — |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 1,080 | 12.6¢ | $459 | — |
| JarheadLXXI0xb120…f2ff | Yes | 1,000 | 38.5¢ | $425 | — |
| ptaszek0x5cf6…6ade | Yes | 1,000 | 43.0¢ | $425 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,000 | 27.5¢ | $425 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| ultra-poverty0x810f…57aa | Yes | 1,000 | 38.0¢ | $425 | — |
| chennw0xe57f…b61a | No | 706 | 59.4¢ | $406 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 923 | 9.3¢ | $392 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| JanusApprentice0x21c0…4827 | No | 642 | 93.8¢ | $369 | New99 settled bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 860 | 36.9¢ | $366 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| 0x95b8…b472 | No | 614 | 58.0¢ | $353 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 600 | 63.4¢ | $345 | — |
| GamblerGalore0xd3e8…ec57 | No | 600 | 62.0¢ | $345 | — |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | No | 574 | 59.6¢ | $330 | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee0x64b4…b21e | Yes | 769 | 41.2¢ | $327 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 738 | 11.1¢ | $314 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| 0x.4a5140x8c2a…38d0 | No | 536 | 93.5¢ | $308 | — |
| a5DYXQMGEE0x0be4…b548 | Yes | 682 | 10.5¢ | $290 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 346 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 600 | 13.0¢ | $255 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 591 | 5.0¢ | $251 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| bobbery0x3c7f…21bf | Yes | 589 | 8.8¢ | $250 | — |
| 0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c2930xb8a9…2948 | Yes | 539 | 28.8¢ | $229 | — |
| dfsahg10xbf87…011b | No | 382 | 64.9¢ | $220 | — |
| tlktlk0xebe1…1179 | Yes | 513 | 40.0¢ | $218 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 500 | 7.7¢ | $213 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| sewss0x10cd…1094 | No | 356 | 57.1¢ | $205 | — |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | No | 300 | 93.0¢ | $173 | — |
| ProfitMuhammedPBUH0xae7c…487e | Yes | 388 | 13.0¢ | $165 | — |
| tigertest10x73bd…ac54 | No | 279 | 55.0¢ | $161 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 359 | 3.8¢ | $153 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 354 | 6.2¢ | $150 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 250 | 63.6¢ | $144 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 247 | 87.2¢ | $142 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 330 | 10.0¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| Cranitam0x550c…1e1a | No | 239 | 59.2¢ | $137 | — |
| delphilo0xca52…0cdf | Yes | 317 | 42.0¢ | $135 | — |
| weegoup0xf5ef…7761 | No | 229 | 67.6¢ | $132 | — |
| Usernamed20x0049…0cfd | Yes | 309 | 0.0¢ | $131 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 302 | 12.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| Geckogecko0x0bc9…d806 | Yes | 300 | 10.4¢ | $128 | — |
| michaelSlasher0x6fa1…1f74 | Yes | 300 | 38.5¢ | $128 | Proven+$10.95 per $100 · 208 bets |
| Goingaround0x70d4…9feb | Yes | 300 | 36.8¢ | $128 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | No | 214 | 60.0¢ | $123 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 6,270 bets |
| web50x2f45…ab6a | Yes | 275 | 14.0¢ | $117 | — |
| PredictionPuppy0x23d1…743a | No | 200 | 61.0¢ | $115 | — |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | No | 200 | 57.0¢ | $115 | — |
| Hdbeh6550xbcfe…ee58 | No | 200 | 59.0¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x940b…368a | Yes | 250 | 8.6¢ | $106 | — |
| qing1230xfff8…9cd6 | Yes | 250 | 9.3¢ | $106 | — |
| quadrivalent0xa3b0…4aab | No | 177 | 64.9¢ | $102 | — |
| TRADER4200x80cf…614d | Yes | 238 | 7.1¢ | $101 | Proven+$8.29 per $100 · 270 bets |
| crop?0xe308…309c | No | 175 | 58.0¢ | $101 | — |
| Blackwaterddd0xe09e…deb3 | No | 153 | 59.6¢ | $88 | New37 settled bets |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | No | 140 | 61.0¢ | $81 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 140 | 77.3¢ | $81 | — |
| akum40xe393…8364 | No | 112 | 88.4¢ | $64 | — |
| JMalloc0x0359…a079 | No | 110 | 91.3¢ | $63 | New58 settled bets |
| m33zy0xcb7e…28dd | No | 106 | 58.5¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xf22b…7eab | No | 100 | 58.0¢ | $57 | — |
| peivon980x2e68…6898 | No | 99 | 91.3¢ | $57 | — |
| Ordon0x8ebf…83ce | No | 94 | 63.3¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 6,799 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 87 | 57.1¢ | $50 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| fuckpolymarket0x86bc…c15f | No | 86 | 59.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 86 | 58.4¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| 0x16bf…3e21 | No | 83 | 58.0¢ | $48 | — |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | No | 83 | 83.0¢ | $48 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 81 | 57.3¢ | $46 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 78 | 63.8¢ | $45 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 74 | 62.9¢ | $43 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| charlie8904140x7b5c…4177 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $29 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 45 | 62.9¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 150 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.