Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price · Jan 1 · 1 event · $100K in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zptml0xecb9…5a12 | No | 3,002 | 63.2¢ | $2.75K | New73 settled bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 1,702 | 85.0¢ | $1.56K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 1,000 | 80.0¢ | $915 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Yes | 9,797 | 35.3¢ | $833 | New57 settled bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 770 | 52.0¢ | $704 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | No | 486 | 78.3¢ | $445 | — |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 450 | 67.0¢ | $412 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| nanwill0xdac9…2de6 | No | 410 | 42.0¢ | $375 | — |
| EhBC0xebef…8731 | No | 391 | 63.9¢ | $358 | — |
| namarian9990x0749…6de9 | Yes | 3,565 | 30.8¢ | $303 | — |
| gambling2270x5665…32cd | Yes | 3,475 | 56.4¢ | $295 | — |
| luzai0x9f54…adfe | Yes | 3,464 | 55.1¢ | $294 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 2,807 | 15.4¢ | $239 | New62 settled bets |
| 333blacksea0x373f…1878 | No | 221 | 56.7¢ | $202 | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 200 | 69.5¢ | $183 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | 185 | 73.7¢ | $169 | — |
| presidentmaster0xdd10…416f | Yes | 1,670 | 15.5¢ | $142 | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 136 | 63.7¢ | $125 | — |
| BabyIBeenWatchingYou0x9e9a…a9a8 | Yes | 1,328 | 58.0¢ | $113 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 2,243 bets |
| 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | 1,319 | 23.4¢ | $112 | — |
| Volcker430xdd97…b01e | No | 120 | 64.3¢ | $109 | — |
| XieGuangKun0x25dc…e33b | Yes | 1,275 | 45.8¢ | $108 | — |
| bitcoinmafia0x4d3e…783b | Yes | 1,180 | 58.7¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 1,246 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 104 | 75.0¢ | $95 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| GenaCyberpunk0x816f…ace1 | Yes | 1,106 | 20.9¢ | $94 | New1 settled bet |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 100 | 60.8¢ | $92 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| ng60000x6ffd…a637 | No | 96 | 66.0¢ | $87 | Positive+$6.39 per $100 · 7,738 bets |
| upasna0x877f…7acb | Yes | 1,000 | 57.0¢ | $85 | — |
| 0x3b22…68e3 | Yes | 936 | 40.1¢ | $80 | — |
| Isasgec0x9de7…73a5 | Yes | 836 | 59.8¢ | $71 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 70 | 64.3¢ | $64 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| demux20000x5a37…d223 | Yes | 719 | 37.5¢ | $61 | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 56 | 62.9¢ | $51 | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 55 | 79.0¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| dsfd30x407d…52fd | Yes | 580 | 23.6¢ | $49 | — |
| Nobi-Nobita0x24fe…3419 | No | 52 | 76.5¢ | $48 | — |
| kenchan55443322110xb99b…b581 | Yes | 547 | 25.0¢ | $46 | — |
| serkulesss0x92c1…0586 | Yes | 545 | 48.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xb299…d48c | Yes | 522 | 33.3¢ | $44 | — |
| LoaghtanSheep0x1f47…5228 | Yes | 513 | 20.1¢ | $44 | — |
| LaJeunesse0x2f55…74da | Yes | 508 | 59.0¢ | $43 | — |
| augd0x2c30…37b7 | Yes | 500 | 20.6¢ | $43 | — |
| vyemfql0x5848…b529 | Yes | 479 | 60.7¢ | $41 | — |
| BoughtTheTop0x3a56…387c | No | 35 | 55.9¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xe827…0082 | Yes | 350 | 30.0¢ | $30 | — |
| danduka0x238a…105f | Yes | 350 | 33.0¢ | $30 | — |
| Psatoshi0xf6e1…0923 | No | 30 | 64.0¢ | $27 | — |
| KDTG0x639c…7cf4 | No | 29 | 69.0¢ | $27 | — |
| canopgdsapfsdangsdfa0x2053…b14a | Yes | 300 | 55.0¢ | $26 | — |
| xihui0x4d1b…2b5a | Yes | 280 | 19.6¢ | $24 | — |
| pseudonomen1370xa95b…6927 | Yes | 264 | 37.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x2237…b514 | No | 24 | 42.0¢ | $22 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 251 | 25.0¢ | $21 | — |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu0x01be…7586 | No | 23 | 86.5¢ | $21 | New60 settled bets |
| 0x06d8…9446 | Yes | 245 | 37.2¢ | $21 | — |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | Yes | 229 | 22.3¢ | $19 | — |
| serendipity070x181a…4971 | No | 20 | 54.0¢ | $18 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 19 | 43.3¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 6,486 bets |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | Yes | 206 | 50.0¢ | $18 | — |
| cc4160x8242…cb6e | Yes | 200 | 12.0¢ | $17 | — |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 18 | 57.0¢ | $16 | — |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 172 | 31.0¢ | $15 | — |
| TheGoldenShotg4nSK0x4d91…d886 | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $14 | — |
| thugs0xe49a…3c20 | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $14 | — |
| webb50080xd41b…83a4 | Yes | 160 | 53.3¢ | $14 | — |
| mickeyB0x58c8…0300 | No | 14 | 56.0¢ | $13 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 150 | 22.9¢ | $13 | — |
| Accalia0x5d4e…ea01 | No | 13 | 78.7¢ | $12 | — |
| laax0x04f8…a062 | Yes | 137 | 73.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Bita13600xaf11…f3bf | Yes | 135 | 74.0¢ | $11 | — |
| rlandim0x80d2…4e7a | Yes | 134 | 37.3¢ | $11 | — |
| BTRSPORTS0xa32f…28bc | Yes | 134 | 21.3¢ | $11 | — |
| baishu0x8315…55cf | Yes | 130 | 19.3¢ | $11 | — |
| Yurion00x47e7…ecbf | No | 12 | 77.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Whywix0x2fe7…03e0 | Yes | 122 | 45.0¢ | $10 | — |
| yiuyoo0x21a3…9e97 | Yes | 120 | 36.5¢ | $10 | — |
| fercanalesg0x6152…9c18 | No | 11 | 65.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 115 | 9.7¢ | $10 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | 113 | 57.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.75 per $100 · 2,290 bets |
| Zarshka0xc1cf…9656 | Yes | 110 | 24.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 1,809 bets |
| 0x5633…290b | No | 10 | 68.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Dolba0xc7b8…2c1f | No | 10 | 50.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$8.10 per $100 · 2,437 bets |
| 0xfb83…42d5 | No | 10 | 50.0¢ | $9 | — |
| KKMTY0x4834…0c43 | Yes | 101 | 32.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Seigneurhol0x8ec5…65a8 | No | 9 | 43.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xe3ce8c7802e36862cec738ac5a859a37fcbd9df0xe3ce…d9df | Yes | 100 | 37.0¢ | $9 | — |
| FastFormula10x483a…8832 | Yes | 100 | 44.0¢ | $8 | — |
| rabl0xc477…d25d | No | 9 | 57.0¢ | $8 | — |
| bubashlep0x08be…1cbc | No | 5 | 38.0¢ | $5 | — |
| labubulalala0x23eb…c516 | No | 5 | 43.0¢ | $5 | — |
| alphapres0xae5a…e2b0 | No | 5 | 78.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 5350x0a14…cab1 | No | 4 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 4 | 61.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5e9f…91db | Yes | 44 | 41.5¢ | $4 | Proven+$23.37 per $100 · 535 bets |
| Zelgada0x1316…d190 | No | 4 | 27.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4eb3…5203 | No | 4 | 28.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 3 | 86.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Israell0x1f28…9686 | No | 3 | 78.7¢ | $2 | — |
| ktv.020xeab5…f570 | Yes | 25 | 18.8¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.