Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price · Jan 1 · 1 event · $100K in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 3 outcomes add up to 94.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zptml0xecb9…5a12 | No | 3,002 | 63.2¢ | $2.75K | New73 settled bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 1,702 | 85.0¢ | $1.56K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 1,000 | 80.0¢ | $915 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Yes | 9,797 | 35.3¢ | $833 | New57 settled bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 770 | 52.0¢ | $704 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | No | 486 | 78.3¢ | $445 | — |