Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 3 outcomes add up to 94.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Bitcoin price · Jan 1 · 1 event · $100K in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yurion00x47e7…ecbf | No | 3,247 | 64.4¢ | $2.63K | — |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 2,408 | 74.6¢ | $1.95K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 |
| Yes |
| 6,888 |
| 29.8¢ |
| $1.31K |
| Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| BIGDar0x16e9…db58 | Yes | 6,573 | 15.4¢ | $1.25K | — |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No | 1,495 | 69.9¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| FatBoyRay19800x453c…37e4 | No | 1,200 | 75.8¢ | $972 | — |