Market · 19 of 19 outcomes
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 96.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Next Israeli Prime Minister · 2026 Election · 1 event · $3.59M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CtrlZ-1310x5eaa…d302 | No | 100 | 99.4¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 76,000 | 0.1¢ | $38 | — |
| ncisoo0x756f…e392 | No | 25 | 99.6¢ | $25 | — |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 48,339 | 2.4¢ | $24 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 38,923 | 3.5¢ | $19 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 24,482 | 0.2¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.