Market · 9 of 19 outcomes
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 97.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Next Israeli Prime Minister · 2026 Election · 1 event · $3.59M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 161 | 99.8¢ | $161 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| WaterF0x1b8e…af25 | Yes | 74,691 | 0.2¢ | $112 | — |
| 0x81d5…5074 | Yes | 62,547 | 0.3¢ | $94 | — |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 48,339 | 2.4¢ | $73 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 38,053 | 0.2¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x52e8…4a23 | Yes | 30,646 | 0.3¢ | $46 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.