Market · 6 of 19 outcomes
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 96.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Next Israeli Prime Minister · 2026 Election · 1 event · $3.59M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b5a…b95d | Yes | 103,123 | 1.0¢ | $516 | Losing−$24.53 per $100 · 517 bets |
| Albertm60xdb08…f30b | Yes | 69,082 | 0.6¢ | $345 | — |
| Kuiahga0x0bde…7d01 | No | 285 | 99.1¢ | $284 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 244 | 99.4¢ | $243 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 48,339 | 2.4¢ | $242 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| WashTrade0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | 35,052 | 0.2¢ | $175 | Proven+$5.16 per $100 · 1,285 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.