François Ruffin

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 110.6¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of the election.§2

Tied candidates

Ties for any position are broken by alphabetical order of candidates' listed full names as they appear in the market.§4

Result not known

If the election result isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§6

Ambiguity

If ambiguous, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§8

Counted

Candidates are ranked by order of valid votes won; the market takes the second-highest finishing position.§3

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, the official results of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).§7

Closes

Apr 18, 2027 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 43.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 36.5¢
• Marine Le Pen 11.5¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 8.0¢
• David Lisnard 5.4¢
• Bruno Retailleau 2.4¢
• Gabriel Attal 0.5¢
• François Hollande 0.5¢
• Éric Zemmour 0.5¢
• Sarah Knafo 0.4¢
• Dominique de Villepin 0.4¢
• Jordan Bardella 0.4¢

4 more outcomes in this event.

These 16 outcomes add up to 110.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.