Market · 21 of 23 outcomes
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
11 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 2,365 | 98.6¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 406 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 69 | 95.1¢ | $67 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xd8c2…105e | No | 60 | 98.6¢ | $58 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 40 | 98.2¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 23 | 95.7¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 620 | 1.5¢ | $16 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |