Market · 21 of 23 outcomes
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 2,365 | 98.6¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 406 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 69 | 95.1¢ | $67 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| 0xd8c2…105e | No | 60 | 98.6¢ | $58 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 40 | 98.2¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 524 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 23 | 95.7¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 620 | 1.5¢ | $16 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| romeinzc0x1bce…24cd | No | 10 | 95.5¢ | $10 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 95.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 348 | 2.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 300 | 5.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 244 | 17.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | No | 5 | 97.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 167 | 3.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 160 | 14.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 154 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,285 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 147 | 15.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 120 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 4.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 77 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 55 | 15.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.