Market · 6 of 12 outcomes
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0c7…bc40 | No | 128 | 99.9¢ | $128 | — |
| 0xb77b…a653 | No | 125 | 99.9¢ | $125 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 99.7¢ | $47 | — |
| 90030x50fb…3348 | No | 30 | 99.7¢ | $30 | — |
| aristocles0x1115…f08f | No | 27 | 99.9¢ | $27 | — |
| wengdi0x8dcd…ead6 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| marli90x2b86…ab1d | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 14 | 95.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| cddfghy0x8fbb…90a6 | No | 12 | 99.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x63de…c689 | Yes | 24,000 | 0.1¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xcfc1…eb97 | Yes | 22,000 | 0.1¢ | $11 | — |
| 713c0x2316…2055 | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| b35f0x280a…afc6 | No | 9 | 99.9¢ | $9 | — |
| menagos0x8b5f…9809 | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 12,166 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 12,082 | 1.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,227 bets |
| nHYU7870xf5a9…d246 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 7bea0x3513…b9ed | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| ba770x0c8c…aa2e | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Samec0xf040…5a96 | No | 5 | 99.1¢ | $5 | — |
| MarilynManson0x90e9…7a95 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | — |
| uiyguiy0x20cf…91db | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,368 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Alibaba540x567c…ae11 | No | 4 | 99.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 795b0xf397…3ae2 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| RobinsonKylee0x4481…3ce0 | No | 3 | 99.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7777…67f0 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe145…98d9 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ChonchoVilla0x6785…22e8 | Yes | 4,507 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| aed60x71b4…a709 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 1satoshi0xf949…c9f1 | No | 2 | 98.9¢ | $2 | — |
| MartinezLucas0x93aa…f5b1 | No | 2 | 99.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 44400x32e1…33a7 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x06bb…c3b2 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,720 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 3,574 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,238 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| aa160x90ff…dd28 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1f49…24fc | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 2,992 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 2,979 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| e4130xc1e3…2f5c | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 16352620x013d…3e88 | Yes | 2,439 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 2,380 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| 48440x87cd…0ade | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,062 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| 0x364d…8222 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| feizhou0x5684…4350 | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| moonrise-clump0x48c4…19e5 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| b3tm0re0x8c10…ed7d | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 1,830 bets |
| kjiu760x1c81…3fc8 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2525…e529 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3c80…3555 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x583a…d84e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x85a2…0941 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| AmandaEvans59990x7cc7…8211 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1,479 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| drunktedkennedy0xe95b…1f15 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 1,242 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 1,065 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1c03…aa32 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| tdevil5136110x4192…278e | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x87fd…d3ee | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| hanghangchan0x9cf5…1735 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ttt15579050x9f32…2cc1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbcdc…9ecf | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf94b…a36a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 931 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | Yes | 848 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 825 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| MichaelJackson34480x7f46…01b1 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 778 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 767 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 711 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 701 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 647 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ZekoslavMrkva0xb3e0…72a6 | Yes | 608 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 564 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 555 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 549 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Geetanjaliv0x46c8…695a | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| FarisMecha0x9ca4…9ccb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| BeneGesseritVoice0xcb59…0a22 | Yes | 500 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.38 per $100 · 2,191 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| letmecookibegyou0xd6be…00c5 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 2075treasuryterra0x9dd6…a352 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| RidelFishing0x061d…0dd3 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| gpunfv10xe8af…11f4 | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 93 events · $5.98M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.