Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $70 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 220 | 87.9¢ | $210 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 57 | 87.5¢ | $55 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 137 | 7.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | Yes | 48 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 27 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 18 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 7 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play