Market · 4 of 12 outcomes
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfeab…c40e | No | 109 | 99.9¢ | $109 | — |
| 0x8ee2…3d33 | No | 108 | 99.9¢ | $108 | — |
| 0xfa7f…ea15 | No | 104 | 99.9¢ | $104 | — |
| 0x7404…bca2 | No | 59 | 99.9¢ | $59 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 99.7¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x2d89…ac9e | Yes | 18,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| wumei0x841a…f7f0 | No | 8 | 99.7¢ | $8 | — |
| weiguo00x1883…ef87 | No | 8 | 99.7¢ | $8 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 13,131 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,148 bets |
| StrangeFriends0x2d4c…b848 | Yes | 12,662 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| freedomjijin0xfac1…4915 | Yes | 10,400 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Samec0xf040…5a96 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| uiyguiy0x20cf…91db | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,644 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| AlvarezLogan0x656e…60ba | No | 3 | 99.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbf8a…a44a | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xcfc1…eb97 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| cvfgt60xc556…ad95 | No | 2 | 99.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xbcdc…9ecf | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 3,847 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,720 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 3,533 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,238 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,227 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| 0x06bb…c3b2 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1f49…24fc | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7186…2556 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 2,979 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| bursed0x347d…9841 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,147 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| sadpersone0x8c11…1a93 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| fx3z0x2ca9…40c5 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3c80…3555 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5016…017d | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x63de…c689 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac95…acdf | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf94b…a36a | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 1,963 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ElizabethHoffman15190x91be…2641 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1,570 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1,479 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Ejay980xa865…af55 | Yes | 1,264 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | Yes | 1,250 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,217 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Gavty0x96cb…688c | Yes | 1,100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1194…8e19 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1c03…aa32 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3fbd…f90e | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4682…4d40 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x805a…7cf8 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x85a2…0941 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcf9c…bae2 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe145…98d9 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 999 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 935 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 889 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 747 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 712 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| oldclimber0xce61…b66f | Yes | 702 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 682 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| 0x551b…b47e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| RidelFishing0x061d…0dd3 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| rdgdfhfnfgdfd0xbe61…36f8 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 0 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.