Market · 2 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 3 events · $14.3M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| floatingraft0x56ad…f13e | No | 202,001 | 67.2¢ | $114K | Losing−$12.10 per $100 · 115 bets |
| BTCmaxi0xa40a…fa62 | Yes | 57,849 | 34.1¢ | $25.2K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | Yes | 56,955 | 33.5¢ | $24.8K | Proven+$13.62 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 39,010 | 85.8¢ | $22K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| max1ved0x3c5d…7be1 | No | 35,872 | 54.3¢ | $20.3K | New21 settled bets |
| 0x7b5c…4960 | Yes | 40,441 | 28.1¢ | $17.6K | — |
| Creamethod0xe87f…f8e7 | Yes | 39,870 | 52.5¢ | $17.3K | New13 settled bets |
| 0xd2e8…eeea | No | 24,227 | 67.2¢ | $13.7K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | 24,504 | 19.0¢ | $10.7K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| jingxingyhh0x1bbe…776d | Yes | 19,000 | 37.7¢ | $8.26K | Positive+$11.40 per $100 · 148 bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 16,782 | 44.4¢ | $7.3K | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| dezzired0x9a5b…c6c1 | Yes | 15,099 | 48.4¢ | $6.57K | — |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | No | 10,147 | 51.0¢ | $5.73K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 9,000 | 64.6¢ | $5.08K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | No | 8,003 | 81.5¢ | $4.52K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0xe44b…4982 | Yes | 10,341 | 51.2¢ | $4.5K | — |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | No | 6,299 | 63.7¢ | $3.56K | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | 7,816 | 39.5¢ | $3.4K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| tolicien0xe144…fa7c | Yes | 7,594 | 14.0¢ | $3.3K | New72 settled bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 5,290 | 53.7¢ | $2.99K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 5,069 | 72.6¢ | $2.86K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Hischier120xdf11…11ed | No | 4,151 | 63.6¢ | $2.35K | — |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 4,451 | 38.6¢ | $1.94K | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 4,200 | 50.4¢ | $1.83K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | Yes | 4,154 | 42.7¢ | $1.81K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 3,999 | 52.6¢ | $1.74K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 4lucky0xb37e…8d2f | Yes | 3,912 | 13.6¢ | $1.7K | New50 settled bets |
| Selinaluv0xbae1…2f44 | Yes | 3,715 | 20.6¢ | $1.62K | New13 settled bets |
| protrest0x8e4a…c5d1 | Yes | 3,509 | 51.7¢ | $1.53K | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 3,333 | 60.0¢ | $1.45K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| nocturne4810x504d…dae8 | Yes | 2,915 | 51.7¢ | $1.27K | — |
| Cryp0x3883…6bb0 | No | 2,236 | 87.2¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 624 bets |
| pillusch0xa97c…55b2 | Yes | 2,634 | 37.6¢ | $1.15K | — |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 2,000 | 40.0¢ | $1.13K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 2,000 | 60.8¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 2,573 | 38.0¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| Pranjal0x0a2d…6db9 | Yes | 2,500 | 12.7¢ | $1.09K | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,497 | 8.0¢ | $1.09K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| DOGWIFHAT0xa8da…f944 | Yes | 2,120 | 16.3¢ | $922 | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 238 bets |
| 0xshanhai0xf94c…59dc | No | 1,534 | 66.8¢ | $867 | New37 settled bets |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | No | 1,500 | 65.7¢ | $847 | — |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 1,200 | 86.0¢ | $678 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,614 bets |
| 0x666f780xa8e8…3680 | Yes | 1,520 | 57.1¢ | $661 | — |
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 1,100 | 89.6¢ | $622 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| MMJP0x2468…4826 | Yes | 1,400 | 37.0¢ | $609 | New16 settled bets |
| wurenzhixiao0xe987…3477 | Yes | 1,400 | 51.0¢ | $609 | — |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | No | 1,036 | 48.8¢ | $585 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| BUCKER0x7fa8…8ae6 | No | 1,000 | 62.0¢ | $565 | New17 settled bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 1,000 | 88.6¢ | $565 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| MrKnightly0x76ce…a6b7 | Yes | 1,297 | 37.0¢ | $564 | — |
| 0xada8…a16f | Yes | 1,200 | 52.7¢ | $522 | — |
| fifain0xabc5…fc46 | Yes | 1,170 | 58.7¢ | $509 | — |
| pm-maio-20260xbd41…a6de | Yes | 1,101 | 45.7¢ | $479 | New62 settled bets |
| dumbfuc0xe4e3…0eba | Yes | 1,073 | 42.7¢ | $467 | — |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 817 | 80.7¢ | $462 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| dovetail0x1025…7e11 | Yes | 1,046 | 29.3¢ | $455 | — |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 1,042 | 25.2¢ | $453 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| Monkebet0x4537…fd02 | Yes | 1,036 | 50.0¢ | $451 | — |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 1,018 | 16.0¢ | $443 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| 000088880x8948…28d5 | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $435 | — |
| LaarsY0x191f…4a8d | Yes | 763 | 35.3¢ | $332 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 7,796 bets |
| JIUSHENzhou0xd09d…9bfe | No | 568 | 87.1¢ | $321 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 700 | 43.2¢ | $304 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Frieren680x9e45…3662 | No | 510 | 71.5¢ | $288 | — |
| Lihazazs0x1ec6…7edb | No | 503 | 52.0¢ | $284 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 259 bets |
| chaoticgod0xffea…06c0 | No | 503 | 52.0¢ | $284 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 316 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | No | 500 | 87.0¢ | $283 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| crypoviy0x4aa5…edac | Yes | 648 | 49.0¢ | $282 | — |
| dudelikemeow0xa8d6…4a00 | Yes | 624 | 49.0¢ | $271 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x872e…e58f | Yes | 600 | 51.7¢ | $261 | Losing−$12.93 per $100 · 134 bets |
| Epch0x7c4c…a5f0 | Yes | 590 | 43.1¢ | $256 | — |
| Sk1z0xd9db…d937 | No | 410 | 65.5¢ | $232 | — |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | No | 400 | 69.1¢ | $226 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| 0x94ee…5ebc | No | 392 | 53.3¢ | $222 | New2 settled bets |
| Jjjj.0xa740…ee18 | Yes | 500 | 46.7¢ | $218 | — |
| xiaoyinf0x2512…89bc | No | 350 | 59.0¢ | $198 | — |
| wtfispolcue0x3793…8f46 | Yes | 400 | 49.0¢ | $174 | — |
| Naudway0x09ae…004e | Yes | 400 | 14.0¢ | $174 | — |
| fusheng9770xff64…3d67 | Yes | 400 | 34.0¢ | $174 | — |
| Knark0x54af…a9ef | No | 300 | 56.6¢ | $169 | — |
| 0x91c7…b576 | No | 300 | 81.7¢ | $169 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| josephcasa750xd574…425d | No | 300 | 85.0¢ | $169 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | No | 255 | 72.1¢ | $144 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| 0x8c75…103b | No | 250 | 53.8¢ | $141 | — |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 230 | 89.6¢ | $130 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| NUPlaystation0x6de9…752a | No | 213 | 61.8¢ | $120 | — |
| Yoelmma0xb2a7…8b19 | No | 200 | 55.7¢ | $113 | — |
| io-cane0xf166…fb37 | No | 200 | 90.6¢ | $113 | Losing−$5.98 per $100 · 473 bets |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | No | 151 | 89.0¢ | $85 | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| jpsupert0x26ec…da98 | No | 149 | 68.9¢ | $84 | — |
| dima230000xce71…d5f6 | No | 147 | 69.5¢ | $83 | — |
| 0x95b9…a8cd | No | 145 | 70.5¢ | $82 | — |
| plmk20xc6ca…6038 | No | 110 | 87.9¢ | $62 | — |
| DiamondBets-HighYieldFund10xe5ab…59b1 | No | 108 | 90.6¢ | $61 | — |
| dianjingshigou0x1914…36f9 | No | 105 | 54.1¢ | $59 | — |
| Kirils0xc689…9279 | No | 101 | 63.0¢ | $57 | Losing−$2.32 per $100 · 184 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 8.43K shares each side · Show
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