Market · 5 of 19 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 4 events · $16.9M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 22,803 | 58.5¢ | $16.8K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,515 bets |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 18,133 | 55.3¢ | $13.3K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| dogerfad0x6cb2…99a3 | No | 8,262 | 51.0¢ | $6.07K | New45 settled bets |
| beheo1230x2476…8436 | Yes | 17,600 | 47.9¢ | $4.66K | New50 settled bets |
| Egozic860x744c…e37f | No | 6,278 | 60.6¢ | $4.61K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 851 bets |
| 0xc449…bd48 | No | 5,999 | 39.3¢ | $4.41K | — |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 5,029 | 66.5¢ | $3.7K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| shizzle990xa2c9…9c10 | No | 4,534 | 68.4¢ | $3.33K | — |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 4,402 | 64.2¢ | $3.24K | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 3,350 bets |
| LehmanBrother2.00x5fbf…8925 | No | 3,677 | 72.0¢ | $2.7K | New12 settled bets |
| pomelopeel0x50ea…48db | No | 2,821 | 69.9¢ | $2.07K | New64 settled bets |
| euro-catcher0xc2e5…b3a5 | Yes | 6,416 | 30.4¢ | $1.7K | Losing−$4.50 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| Darrenxiao0x9bcf…5ee7 | Yes | 5,874 | 55.2¢ | $1.56K | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 5,625 | 32.0¢ | $1.49K | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 2,022 | 52.9¢ | $1.49K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| ML得意0xd86c…98aa | No | 1,946 | 54.3¢ | $1.43K | — |
| har-gow0xbb8e…2bee | Yes | 5,374 | 35.5¢ | $1.42K | New87 settled bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 1,500 | 69.8¢ | $1.1K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| nomalmaker0x7470…72e1 | No | 1,500 | 32.5¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$4.08 per $100 · 138 bets |
| Ryan4renovations0xcc1b…63c7 | Yes | 3,889 | 37.6¢ | $1.03K | — |
| W1nner0xf21a…b6e3 | No | 1,397 | 73.0¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 265 bets |
| AndreasSchm0x027e…c97f | Yes | 3,772 | 28.1¢ | $1K | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 441 bets |
| DiversifiedBS0xccff…e845 | No | 1,300 | 70.0¢ | $956 | — |
| Predictandbreathe0x2707…0afa | Yes | 3,500 | 38.5¢ | $928 | Losing−$3.21 per $100 · 3,225 bets |
| 0x3250…108d | Yes | 3,488 | 47.6¢ | $924 | New17 settled bets |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | Yes | 3,429 | 43.0¢ | $909 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,314 bets |
| Paradox090xfd50…8904 | Yes | 3,328 | 52.9¢ | $882 | — |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 3,173 | 38.6¢ | $841 | Losing−$13.35 per $100 · 443 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,066 | 51.6¢ | $783 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| s4snowfall0x156d…e025 | Yes | 2,857 | 36.6¢ | $757 | New24 settled bets |
| masterrrbig0xed6a…4a6d | No | 1,020 | 73.4¢ | $750 | — |
| No-897570x37a1…6691 | Yes | 2,460 | 40.3¢ | $652 | Proven+$4.13 per $100 · 885 bets |
| gustavokonte0x6ba0…eab4 | Yes | 2,400 | 37.0¢ | $636 | New13 settled bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 811 | 58.8¢ | $596 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 770 | 67.1¢ | $566 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | No | 766 | 69.9¢ | $563 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,444 bets |
| MikeMoore0x5d2f…4adb | Yes | 2,000 | 64.0¢ | $530 | Proven+$5.78 per $100 · 334 bets |
| escobar20x259d…9ff7 | Yes | 1,985 | 52.3¢ | $526 | New9 settled bets |
| sweetbox0xd610…a87f | No | 631 | 67.5¢ | $464 | — |
| 0xe85e…6bd0 | No | 469 | 55.2¢ | $344 | — |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 429 | 71.5¢ | $315 | — |
| 0x6333…e16f | No | 411 | 75.1¢ | $302 | New17 settled bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 411 | 74.4¢ | $302 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| Nyam0x019c…b424 | No | 400 | 67.6¢ | $294 | Proven+$5.65 per $100 · 213 bets |
| Plsz0x86f2…8914 | Yes | 1,029 | 35.6¢ | $273 | — |
| yolo.13370x2619…34ef | No | 367 | 41.7¢ | $270 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 5,325 bets |
| 3iron0xd03b…042b | Yes | 1,004 | 29.4¢ | $266 | — |
| Vladenak0xe700…118a | Yes | 1,000 | 51.3¢ | $265 | — |
| Humbly40xaa45…2e20 | Yes | 996 | 30.9¢ | $264 | — |
| AlgoRock0xe2cf…ef60 | Yes | 900 | 59.0¢ | $239 | — |
| 0x4c4d…df52 | Yes | 862 | 31.6¢ | $228 | New0 settled bets |
| SuckMyDicck0x07e1…9010 | No | 300 | 67.0¢ | $220 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 171 bets |
| Rinchon0x2b24…2440 | Yes | 800 | 47.5¢ | $212 | Losing−$6.86 per $100 · 226 bets |
| 0x7a23…0f1d | Yes | 769 | 54.6¢ | $204 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x1330…b4b5 | Yes | 747 | 62.4¢ | $198 | Proven+$9.28 per $100 · 631 bets |
| 0x7a99…c413 | No | 263 | 67.6¢ | $193 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 323 bets |
| PippiTrader0x403f…94f1 | No | 258 | 65.4¢ | $190 | Proven+$3.70 per $100 · 7,561 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | No | 251 | 42.7¢ | $184 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 218 | 64.5¢ | $160 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 218 | 67.0¢ | $160 | Losing−$5.43 per $100 · 5,932 bets |
| 0xd490…e8e2 | No | 218 | 47.8¢ | $160 | — |
| NUEVE-990xbe86…ec62 | Yes | 600 | 34.9¢ | $159 | — |
| 0xe11c…f800 | No | 208 | 49.7¢ | $153 | — |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 200 | 65.0¢ | $147 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| werffdsfa0x7723…6989 | No | 200 | 60.0¢ | $147 | New35 settled bets |
| dexter.chow0xf72e…8b51 | No | 200 | 60.0¢ | $147 | — |
| 0x7d93…fdef | Yes | 483 | 32.7¢ | $128 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 12,840 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 460 | 41.7¢ | $122 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| Aufsmaulwurf0xe731…8e55 | Yes | 455 | 45.7¢ | $120 | — |
| TearsInTheRain0xd2f6…cbf3 | No | 154 | 66.6¢ | $113 | — |
| tshelby230x0f99…cc23 | Yes | 400 | 25.0¢ | $106 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 276 bets |
| madjutsu0x61e9…b13a | Yes | 400 | 55.0¢ | $106 | Losing−$5.16 per $100 · 652 bets |
| onlyupcapital0x40e4…6ef7 | Yes | 388 | 33.7¢ | $103 | Losing−$4.07 per $100 · 189 bets |
| jung70xc6ac…d254 | Yes | 375 | 42.2¢ | $99 | — |
| nibbio10x08cb…d5aa | Yes | 344 | 28.9¢ | $91 | Losing−$17.31 per $100 · 1,032 bets |
| Vollacill0xd1ef…f23c | No | 119 | 72.0¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 329 bets |
| 0xa783…0a48 | No | 115 | 63.6¢ | $84 | — |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | Yes | 316 | 51.8¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| Xiaojiucai8860x3e43…a50e | Yes | 312 | 36.8¢ | $83 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 202 bets |
| NeonTimber0x44fe…301d | Yes | 297 | 44.1¢ | $79 | Losing−$4.09 per $100 · 283 bets |
| CaffeineOverload0x6ae9…1ea4 | Yes | 286 | 41.2¢ | $76 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 284 bets |
| nibbio20x0e10…0d5c | Yes | 286 | 33.8¢ | $76 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 360 bets |
| daaapanji0x761a…e1f3 | Yes | 279 | 42.5¢ | $74 | Losing−$7.92 per $100 · 206 bets |
| makemoney20250xe3a1…3c87 | No | 100 | 67.0¢ | $74 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 1,224 bets |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 100 | 53.5¢ | $73 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| esport-010xb1df…8155 | Yes | 259 | 41.3¢ | $69 | — |
| QuantVortex0x82f2…91ce | Yes | 258 | 47.0¢ | $68 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 210 bets |
| debil2280xd6ac…fb20 | Yes | 248 | 36.9¢ | $66 | — |
| Samsara-Tj0x0b2d…601b | Yes | 240 | 59.7¢ | $64 | New33 settled bets |
| 0xb6c6…043d | Yes | 184 | 35.6¢ | $49 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | Yes | 138 | 48.1¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 16,523 bets |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | No | 20 | 30.4¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 260 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 16 | 43.7¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 300 shares each side · Show
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