Market · 8 of 14 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
2 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 5,233 | 90.6¢ | $5.23K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,520 bets |
| Navigator770x3e3d…d674 | No | 4,008 | 99.8¢ | $4K | — |
| 20Ec890x20ec…4bf6 | No | 203 | 99.9¢ | $203 | — |
| 0xd2e5…03f4 | No | 179 | 98.0¢ | $179 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 60 | 96.3¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play