Market · 8 of 13 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 5,233 | 90.6¢ | $5.23K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,525 bets |
| Navigator770x3e3d…d674 | No | 4,008 | 99.8¢ | $4K | — |
| 20Ec890x20ec…4bf6 | No | 203 | 99.9¢ | $203 | — |
| 0xd2e5…03f4 | No | 179 | 98.0¢ | $179 | — |
| Tttyh0x2322…3ede | No | 120 | 99.9¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 2,662 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 60 | 96.3¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| CampruCali0x0404…4719 | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 5,334 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | No | 21 | 95.5¢ | $21 | New42 settled bets |
| southeast060x0aa8…43af | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| Mereditha0x48c8…e1d9 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| bizdev0x7181…a168 | No | 7 | 98.0¢ | $7 | — |
| zcxczxcxzczxczxczczxczczxczczxc0x2868…97f8 | No | 6 | 89.2¢ | $6 | — |
| cjie18880x628c…8692 | No | 5 | 91.7¢ | $5 | — |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 5 | 84.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1457…b167 | No | 3 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 2,794 | 11.9¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | No | 2 | 97.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| kxelvryyo0x78cb…f366 | Yes | 1,153 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$47.32 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| 0x8188…b427 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | Yes | 876 | 7.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | Yes | 847 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | Yes | 729 | 5.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| Woyaofacai660x31af…b59a | Yes | 579 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| wowohaha0xb3a8…70b3 | Yes | 500 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Okorobobo0x6ec1…42cc | Yes | 280 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| unreasonable0ne0xa1b9…dd0a | Yes | 253 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | Yes | 247 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Shallan0x1414…18fc | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| daksh190xd0bf…46b1 | Yes | 180 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | $0 | New49 settled bets |
| Big-Tino0x1ed8…d781 | Yes | 60 | 17.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Mynamer10x054a…f218 | Yes | 58 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$23.37 per $100 · 9,905 bets |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 40 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| mmzhu30xf639…efd8 | Yes | 36 | 13.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| IBSI0xe918…dd23 | Yes | 19 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa8c0…4371 | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| 0x069a…f0aa | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Davidssss0xfc43…1c86 | Yes | 6 | 18.6¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play