↓ 80,000

Decided by

The market resolves to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute BTC/USDT candle during the date range has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price in the…§1

Date range window

The date range runs from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date.§1

Other sources excluded

Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for resolution.§5

Only price data

The outcome depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair.§4

Counted

Binance 1 minute BTC/USDT candles' final "Low" prices during the date range in the title.§1

Source

Binance BTC/USDT "Low" prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with "1m" candles selected on the top bar.§3

Closes

Oct 19, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Chance of Yes

• ↑ 86,000 39.5¢
• ↓ 80,000 30.0¢
• ↑ 88,000 15.5¢
• ↓ 78,000 9.5¢
• ↑ 90,000 5.5¢
• ↓ 76,000 4.8¢
• ↑ 92,000 2.8¢
• ↓ 74,000 2.0¢
• ↓ 72,000 1.1¢
• ↑ 94,000 1.0¢
• ↓ 70,000 0.7¢
• ↑ 96,000 0.5¢

1 more outcomes in this event.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.