Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 5,353 | 62.8¢ | $3.88K | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 32,725 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 4,000 | 31.4¢ | $1.1K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,864 bets |
| lee8860x8cc8…f1b3 | No | 953 | 54.2¢ | $691 | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 2,377 | 48.1¢ | $654 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 24,716 bets |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 428 | 66.6¢ | $310 | Proven+$7.85 per $100 · 427 bets |
| iagoWFLD0xa813…04fb | Yes | 973 | 28.2¢ | $268 | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 481 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 276 | 67.0¢ | $200 | Proven+$13.26 per $100 · 1,733 bets |
| RealDeal0xc174…6941 | No | 214 | 74.4¢ | $155 | — |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 203 | 71.9¢ | $147 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| drip00x7479…fbec | No | 200 | 33.0¢ | $145 | Positive+$8.50 per $100 · 371 bets |
| NostraMus0xba0f…ce35 | No | 161 | 63.6¢ | $117 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 147 | 29.8¢ | $107 | — |
| ZalphaAI0xfc1f…a246 | No | 125 | 81.1¢ | $91 | — |
| oldcai0xe76b…ad7f | No | 108 | 71.4¢ | $78 | — |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 100 | 67.0¢ | $73 | — |
| PhongLeXBT0xe94b…5abe | Yes | 245 | 31.0¢ | $67 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 92 | 61.9¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 20,815 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 86 | 72.0¢ | $62 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,273 bets |
| Liwencheng0xd787…2ece | Yes | 200 | 26.3¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 62 | 76.9¢ | $45 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| 0x5274…1fe4 | Yes | 160 | 34.7¢ | $44 | New29 settled bets |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | No | 60 | 62.7¢ | $44 | New31 settled bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | 150 | 68.5¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,811 bets |
| Arnayt0xc251…a5d3 | No | 42 | 74.3¢ | $30 | — |
| yonismahad0x7822…46c2 | Yes | 108 | 29.3¢ | $30 | Losing−$22.97 per $100 · 293 bets |
| cbtl0x55ff…77c6 | No | 40 | 75.8¢ | $29 | Losing−$1.55 per $100 · 640 bets |
| coinfilippe0x997c…251e | Yes | 105 | 28.0¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 12,493 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 101 | 34.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| atoutlemonde0xec34…d61e | Yes | 100 | 28.4¢ | $28 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 6,142 bets |
| 999ki660xd753…fbd4 | No | 33 | 76.3¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x2dc3…11df | Yes | 84 | 33.9¢ | $23 | — |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | No | 30 | 54.5¢ | $22 | — |
| niefeng0xfe65…cd92 | No | 29 | 70.5¢ | $21 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 22 | 71.5¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,044 bets |
| aeschela0x103e…70d3 | Yes | 44 | 28.4¢ | $12 | — |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 35 | 29.7¢ | $10 | New54 settled bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 29 | 27.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| ttabbbb0x1b53…e3fd | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 73.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 4,971 bets |
| dddd111dd0x568c…29ec | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 10,828 bets |
| ddddd340xc652…8387 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 10 | 74.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 16,592 bets |
| Rooglish0x4462…b29b | Yes | 25 | 46.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x5429…6693 | No | 8 | 71.2¢ | $5 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 7 | 75.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,329 bets |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 6 | 49.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3340…13c8 | No | 5 | 67.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.55 per $100 · 3,417 bets |
| kkadkd1920x5eaf…ea07 | No | 5 | 67.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 15,149 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| tangmuzhi0x23d1…50fc | Yes | 10 | 37.0¢ | $3 | New58 settled bets |
| t26260x4b02…7d08 | Yes | 10 | 32.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$19.92 per $100 · 234 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| ddaaasd230x6905…3e12 | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 10 | 47.0¢ | $3 | — |
| lukapol0xe935…3991 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $3 | — |
| skrol1f0x1a51…51ee | Yes | 10 | 29.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.25 per $100 · 397 bets |
| 0x3460…ef86 | No | 3 | 65.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0e92…c163 | Yes | 7 | 67.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$26.22 per $100 · 137 bets |
| Arleco0x8cb1…30c0 | Yes | 7 | 45.0¢ | $2 | — |
| mmmmtl0xd00f…d691 | Yes | 5 | 27.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Bucovina0x9196…c311 | No | 2 | 62.7¢ | $1 | — |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | No | 2 | 67.6¢ | $1 | — |
| joekozinskie0xf5f9…d886 | Yes | 4 | 27.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Williamxin0x9257…cc7d | Yes | 4 | 29.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 9082400x9fd9…0bf1 | No | 1 | 76.3¢ | $1 | — |
| jiroeze0xf6aa…a6fa | No | 1 | 77.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 1 | 30.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 12 · 2 events · $123K in play