Market · 4 of 14 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
2 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luna20020xeec7…ab6f | No | 9,026 | 99.6¢ | $8.98K | — |
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 3,622 | 82.3¢ | $3.6K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,520 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,123 |
| 98.1¢ |
| $1.12K |
| — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 588 | 97.3¢ | $584 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 204 | 98.1¢ | $203 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,138 bets |
| jptorres0x981a…048c | No | 49 | 99.7¢ | $49 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play