Market · 13 of 13 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jjjclv60x1c4f…2852 | No | 24,324 | 99.9¢ | $24.3K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 504 bets |
| Luna20020xeec7…ab6f | No | 9,026 | 99.6¢ | $9.02K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Tttyh0x2322…3ede |
| No |
| 5,467 |
| 99.9¢ |
| $5.46K |
| Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 2,662 bets |
| lingke0xb2dc…2bf2 | No | 1,802 | 99.9¢ | $1.8K | — |
| magcidwa0xb9fe…f33a | No | 1,201 | 99.9¢ | $1.2K | — |
| niefeng0xfe65…cd92 | No | 1,123 | 98.1¢ | $1.12K | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 588 | 97.3¢ | $587 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 204 | 98.1¢ | $204 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,138 bets |
| zedamanga0xfcaa…5add | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| jptorres0x981a…048c | No | 49 | 99.7¢ | $49 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 41 | 97.3¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | No | 38 | 80.9¢ | $38 | New42 settled bets |
| RuneCapital0xd6d7…0e1f | No | 36 | 99.8¢ | $36 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 35 | 98.4¢ | $35 | — |
| CampruCali0x0404…4719 | No | 31 | 98.4¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 5,334 bets |
| 0xe04e…e9c0 | No | 28 | 99.9¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 25 | 98.3¢ | $25 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 20 | 84.5¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 16,523 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 28,718 | 1.3¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,525 bets |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 10 | 78.5¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 58.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 10 | 58.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Kalu12PT0xe4a4…283b | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 9 | 63.0¢ | $9 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 9 | 69.9¢ | $9 | — |
| cjie18880x628c…8692 | No | 6 | 81.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Anon-20xc3a6…e8ff | No | 6 | 87.8¢ | $6 | — |
| bizdev0x7181…a168 | No | 6 | 90.6¢ | $6 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x37e4…3b66 | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | — |
| lopskirapta0xdb6b…31af | No | 5 | 59.7¢ | $5 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 5 | 44.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| fenixr0x58b6…8848 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| JehanneDarc0x737e…de01 | No | 5 | 99.5¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 14,698 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 5 | 79.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6 | Yes | 6,000 | 1.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Wolmoi0x6042…fce2 | No | 2 | 63.6¢ | $2 | — |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | Yes | 2,291 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| nicopro0xdb1e…f465 | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $1 | — |
| themunte0x26dd…c50f | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| philip230xe853…8137 | Yes | 2,019 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| newmon10xfcf4…b476 | Yes | 1,105 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PM6660xb42b…afe0 | Yes | 811 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8188…b427 | Yes | 750 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 510 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 399 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| ds-17664366984130x3d03…3a52 | Yes | 249 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Mynamehere0x7fe1…5d8b | Yes | 213 | 23.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.38 per $100 · 876 bets |
| rankovic260xd549…1cd1 | Yes | 208 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mynamer10x054a…f218 | Yes | 200 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$23.37 per $100 · 9,905 bets |
| Okorobobo0x6ec1…42cc | Yes | 200 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1b3f…1058 | Yes | 122 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 85 | 32.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| unreasonable0ne0xa1b9…dd0a | Yes | 53 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 53 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| mmzhu30xf639…efd8 | Yes | 51 | 52.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Rusik70xa6a0…4469 | No | 0 | 89.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 502 bets |
| BetaChriss0xfc25…fd96 | Yes | 35 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| fatih120x2649…4ccd | Yes | 33 | 6.5¢ | $0 | New33 settled bets |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $0 | New49 settled bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 10 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| AngryBurgerkingPassenger0x88ce…7849 | Yes | 10 | 21.1¢ | $0 | — |
| coatrack0xb94e…eed6 | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | 6 | 25.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x069a…f0aa | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Big-Tino0x1ed8…d781 | Yes | 5 | 39.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x88d8…7234 | Yes | 5 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Davidssss0xfc43…1c86 | Yes | 2 | 54.8¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 2 | 19.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play