Market · 22 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 86,253 | 92.1¢ | $85.4K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 30,877 | 96.7¢ | $30.6K | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 2,394 bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 28,194 | 98.4¢ | $27.9K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 125 bets |
| Sylvertrades0xe7ef…b402 | No | 25,353 | 96.1¢ | $25.1K | New7 settled bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No | 9,746 | 91.9¢ | $9.65K | New10 settled bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 6,036 | 97.9¢ | $5.98K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| lhoexter890xa43f…dcd9 | No | 4,188 | 95.5¢ | $4.15K | — |
| 0xade0xade8…b0bd | No | 4,000 | 96.3¢ | $3.96K | — |
| beastprinting0x4952…44b7 | No | 3,509 | 90.6¢ | $3.48K | New89 settled bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 3,219 | 98.7¢ | $3.19K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 5,208 bets |
| sameday10xe36f…cd91 | No | 3,167 | 96.5¢ | $3.14K | New64 settled bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 2,889 | 94.6¢ | $2.86K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| Alacritous0xeecd…9faa | No | 2,877 | 86.9¢ | $2.85K | New21 settled bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 2,757 | 91.0¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| kiki215670x9a20…9cb5 | No | 2,556 | 91.0¢ | $2.53K | New9 settled bets |
| 0x0570x057a…3bac | No | 2,400 | 96.3¢ | $2.38K | Break-even−$0.19 per $100 · 4,923 bets |
| this15cleverboy0x30dd…bb80 | No | 1,796 | 99.0¢ | $1.78K | — |
| Besserwisser0x9879…bc99 | No | 1,484 | 98.1¢ | $1.47K | New50 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 1,437 | 98.0¢ | $1.42K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 10gayarround1girl0x4775…d205 | No | 1,235 | 98.0¢ | $1.22K | — |
| every18girl0xab94…35a9 | No | 1,000 | 95.8¢ | $991 | — |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $991 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $991 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| Ruslan4ik0x28f0…1b45 | No | 990 | 91.0¢ | $981 | — |
| 3menfuckhallis0x6410…ea31 | No | 918 | 98.3¢ | $910 | — |
| Flatten96960xe073…18d9 | No | 912 | 98.8¢ | $904 | — |
| 0xf1ca…4477 | No | 816 | 94.9¢ | $808 | — |
| Zlata0x953c…9034 | No | 773 | 94.0¢ | $766 | — |
| cryptoforever0x12d8…7359 | No | 750 | 91.0¢ | $743 | — |
| ClodStark0xd9a5…8ce6 | No | 700 | 91.0¢ | $693 | Proven+$5.92 per $100 · 361 bets |
| ArbitrageTaker0x5e92…618a | No | 622 | 92.0¢ | $617 | — |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 610 | 99.0¢ | $604 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 606 | 93.7¢ | $601 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| zanovo-0x9019…42e0 | No | 600 | 91.0¢ | $594 | — |
| AIB0xf258…e4b0 | No | 600 | 92.0¢ | $594 | — |
| yangmiemie0x8f5b…f8d1 | No | 600 | 98.9¢ | $594 | — |
| Hipshot0x1554…3d27 | No | 539 | 92.8¢ | $534 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 512 | 99.0¢ | $507 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 98.2¢ | $495 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| low.iq.games0xc4de…9b81 | No | 500 | 94.6¢ | $495 | — |
| MixByte120x1a46…34cf | No | 500 | 98.2¢ | $495 | — |
| Chaoticcc0x97d0…17eb | No | 500 | 98.4¢ | $495 | — |
| horus19990xb6f0…1fd3 | No | 463 | 95.7¢ | $459 | — |
| zd888880xaa0d…c48c | No | 433 | 98.1¢ | $429 | — |
| molilongjing0xc4c2…1007 | No | 418 | 95.9¢ | $414 | — |
| choohkz230x10fb…c66c | No | 411 | 85.0¢ | $407 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 1,027 bets |
| Valerka0x9c7b…a592 | No | 400 | 91.0¢ | $396 | — |
| peseldan0xfd34…de18 | No | 400 | 98.3¢ | $396 | — |
| xiEc000xaafb…fc37 | No | 400 | 98.6¢ | $396 | — |
| CoreInc0xcc0e…6d8b | No | 400 | 98.3¢ | $396 | — |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 34,737 | 9.2¢ | $330 | — |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 24,521 | 15.6¢ | $233 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 23,182 | 1.3¢ | $220 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| DarkleyWilling0xd2d5…df2f | Yes | 21,097 | 5.7¢ | $200 | Positive+$16.92 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Jurini0x8d3d…aaec | Yes | 20,001 | 4.9¢ | $190 | — |
| nothingno0x92fc…1d78 | Yes | 16,659 | 6.0¢ | $158 | Losing−$87.84 per $100 · 213 bets |
| Yozek0x9d49…13a0 | Yes | 13,770 | 7.3¢ | $131 | — |
| dexttte3320x7027…590d | Yes | 10,250 | 9.8¢ | $97 | — |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 8,609 | 8.9¢ | $82 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Semo8880xe5a0…20da | Yes | 8,131 | 9.8¢ | $77 | — |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 7,925 | 7.1¢ | $75 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| 0x9642…d2ab | Yes | 7,639 | 14.7¢ | $73 | — |
| Rambo7770xd7c5…a855 | Yes | 4,965 | 4.4¢ | $47 | — |
| tudulu0x2698…a979 | Yes | 4,834 | 9.1¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x3283…1da9 | Yes | 4,000 | 8.5¢ | $38 | Losing−$15.00 per $100 · 109 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 3,884 | 2.4¢ | $37 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| AlfredTheShiller0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | 3,333 | 4.6¢ | $32 | Proven+$5.96 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| Paradoxpnz0x6afd…a313 | Yes | 2,523 | 1.3¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x1fd9…1cdd | Yes | 2,369 | 7.7¢ | $23 | — |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 2,361 | 9.5¢ | $22 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,007 | 4.6¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.17 per $100 · 163,834+ bets · updating |
| Tommy910xcc00…0115 | Yes | 2,000 | 10.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Kartun0xf37b…5099 | Yes | 1,600 | 5.9¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xa7f7…0e32 | Yes | 1,504 | 6.6¢ | $14 | — |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 1,429 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$2.41 per $100 · 1,380 bets |
| MZMMJP0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | 1,300 | 2.1¢ | $12 | New15 settled bets |
| agdi0xdb55…85af | Yes | 1,286 | 9.3¢ | $12 | — |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,249 | 22.5¢ | $12 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | 1,200 | 2.1¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x454c…2cff | Yes | 1,111 | 9.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xe05d…4895 | Yes | 1,029 | 7.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | 1,015 | 1.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x2f5e…e184 | Yes | 1,000 | 6.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Jjjj.0xa740…ee18 | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Cr7777770x6483…3f18 | Yes | 796 | 4.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Lumberjack0xfb5d…be63 | Yes | 738 | 6.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 700 | 7.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x2645…2eac | Yes | 672 | 4.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 587 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| igor-ivanov0x1466…0e9f | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $5 | — |
| FarmStatistics0x4a13…e921 | Yes | 500 | 2.1¢ | $5 | — |
| JKHL0x8201…0912 | Yes | 500 | 2.1¢ | $5 | — |
| nishishena0xe2d7…9fba | Yes | 500 | 3.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf9df…b47c | Yes | 476 | 4.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x773f…24dd | Yes | 467 | 1.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd585…0f14 | Yes | 455 | 1.1¢ | $4 | — |
| K2C0x04db…c253 | Yes | 435 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3fdf…2bac | Yes | 435 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| marvelhero0xcab5…642c | Yes | 398 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 390 | 3.5¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.