Market · 24 of 30 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 54 overlapping windows · 5 events · $16.2M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 54,473 | 88.6¢ | $54.1K | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 30,000 | 96.8¢ | $29.8K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 14,991 | 98.9¢ | $14.9K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 5,250 bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No | 8,762 | 91.3¢ | $8.7K | New10 settled bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 4,400 | 98.9¢ | $4.37K | Proven+$13.56 per $100 · 1,691 bets |
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 3,743 | 98.4¢ | $3.71K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| JeanPormanove0xc86d…dcbc | No | 2,979 | 93.0¢ | $2.96K | — |
| 0xe89e…0600 | No | 2,753 | 90.0¢ | $2.73K | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 3,558 bets |
| EricaXBT0x7383…bd0b | No | 2,556 | 97.9¢ | $2.54K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 219 bets |
| lhoexter890xa43f…dcd9 | No | 2,410 | 94.0¢ | $2.39K | — |
| JesusReturns20260xba88…3138 | No | 2,378 | 82.8¢ | $2.36K | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 142 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 2,374 | 97.7¢ | $2.36K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| beastprinting0x4952…44b7 | No | 1,911 | 90.1¢ | $1.9K | New89 settled bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 1,500 | 99.2¢ | $1.49K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| AynR0x5e07…93f1 | No | 1,000 | 95.0¢ | $993 | New39 settled bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $993 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| 0x9c10x9c12…1937 | No | 1,000 | 96.0¢ | $993 | — |
| BullRunWaitingRoom0x231e…9297 | No | 800 | 92.0¢ | $794 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 703 bets |
| polyprinter0x45c4…eee1 | No | 712 | 90.0¢ | $707 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 101 bets |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 702 | 98.0¢ | $697 | — |
| kingminer0010x04fa…f43f | No | 684 | 98.3¢ | $679 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 112 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 608 | 98.8¢ | $603 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 007sevenElena0xc4c9…848f | No | 601 | 95.1¢ | $596 | — |
| zd888880xaa0d…c48c | No | 424 | 97.9¢ | $420 | — |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | No | 391 | 85.9¢ | $388 | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| VegemiteLover0x2079…8327 | No | 370 | 85.0¢ | $367 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 269 bets |
| ineed11liuyifei0x81f8…8a5a | No | 324 | 98.0¢ | $322 | New55 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 308 | 91.3¢ | $305 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| Kristinochka0x64c6…8f19 | No | 300 | 90.0¢ | $298 | Losing−$2.31 per $100 · 182 bets |
| Basquo0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | 35,842 | 7.4¢ | $269 | Losing−$18.35 per $100 · 1,039 bets |
| Fredrpa0xf4ce…865c | Yes | 32,398 | 12.2¢ | $243 | — |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 200 | 92.0¢ | $199 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| this15cleverboy0x30dd…bb80 | No | 200 | 98.3¢ | $199 | New34 settled bets |
| Gaolang0x722e…51af | No | 200 | 98.0¢ | $199 | New82 settled bets |
| ANDRIS0xcfc5…817e | No | 200 | 91.0¢ | $199 | — |
| f0ff0x2107…8a8a | No | 173 | 97.9¢ | $172 | New55 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 21,059 | 1.4¢ | $158 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 150 | 89.7¢ | $149 | — |
| cryptoforever0x12d8…7359 | No | 120 | 94.0¢ | $119 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 186 bets |
| Cyberflems0x49c4…bf77 | No | 120 | 95.3¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,433 bets |
| chongya1110xf7e8…7b79 | No | 120 | 94.0¢ | $119 | — |
| Toljan0xff50…de6f | No | 104 | 95.4¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x36ad…27f0 | Yes | 13,701 | 1.2¢ | $103 | New3 settled bets |
| lsaclsan0xdfe4…3cbd | No | 101 | 99.1¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x091e…84bc | No | 100 | 97.6¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 4,219 bets |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 100 | 98.8¢ | $99 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| ineed12wife0x38c8…64d0 | No | 100 | 98.3¢ | $99 | New58 settled bets |
| vwsffra3560x5756…b58e | No | 100 | 98.2¢ | $99 | New13 settled bets |
| AlexLiu0x6cd5…f2cf | No | 100 | 94.0¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 641 bets |
| 732250x9903…9004 | No | 100 | 94.0¢ | $99 | — |
| PadreMaronno0xc468…009d | No | 100 | 76.4¢ | $99 | — |
| molilongjing0xc4c2…1007 | No | 100 | 95.5¢ | $99 | — |
| zironyjl0x9845…9d6f | No | 91 | 98.8¢ | $91 | — |
| CFW0x0e2e…db6a | No | 85 | 94.0¢ | $84 | Losing−$30.89 per $100 · 143 bets |
| 0xfa39…977f | Yes | 9,279 | 0.9¢ | $70 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 1,050 bets |
| ronniegrob0x5494…85fe | Yes | 6,973 | 10.7¢ | $52 | New43 settled bets |
| isolcoa0xe48a…7598 | Yes | 4,520 | 10.4¢ | $34 | — |
| SigmoidFreund0xdefd…99c5 | Yes | 3,600 | 14.0¢ | $27 | — |
| TRYMP0x38e5…2a7e | Yes | 2,676 | 11.0¢ | $20 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x454c…2cff | Yes | 1,991 | 10.9¢ | $15 | New1 settled bet |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | Yes | 1,400 | 0.9¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,552 bets |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 1,241 | 24.9¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| Maxtyt0xbd27…2807 | Yes | 1,000 | 9.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$12.41 per $100 · 164 bets |
| IAmNotAmerican0x637d…2392 | Yes | 909 | 11.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.25 per $100 · 531 bets |
| 0x86c3…f39a | Yes | 667 | 15.0¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 656 | 1.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| SDIO92nBiQ0x036c…2ceb | Yes | 500 | 6.0¢ | $4 | New29 settled bets |
| fibking0x81b1…74eb | Yes | 500 | 4.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.86 per $100 · 219 bets |
| ABigWiner0xab06…6512 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 500 | 4.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 461 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 438 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| K2C0x04db…c253 | Yes | 419 | 2.6¢ | $3 | New64 settled bets |
| 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | 409 | 1.9¢ | $3 | — |
| ertanari0x6e92…4f4e | Yes | 400 | 10.0¢ | $3 | New12 settled bets |
| TonyChao0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | 390 | 3.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$15.76 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| 0xfe71…31fb | Yes | 333 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tiger110xe821…b27e | Yes | 321 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 6,036 bets |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 300 | 8.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x30f5…8a42 | Yes | 276 | 4.8¢ | $2 | New3 settled bets |
| chartnoise0x6d54…45eb | Yes | 260 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$21.78 per $100 · 854 bets |
| Vovasa0xf319…1902 | Yes | 260 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| TheCandyManCan0xe95f…93d6 | Yes | 245 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| MrExPLO0xc6af…27ed | Yes | 227 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| graysonmiawalker0x535f…9667 | Yes | 205 | 2.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.00 per $100 · 644 bets |
| lucasadonisryan0x659c…d142 | Yes | 200 | 2.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$30.60 per $100 · 515 bets |
| Mrtrane0x9a75…fc76 | Yes | 200 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 158 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| 0xe1ba…c53e | Yes | 154 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x80b2…b0c6 | Yes | 152 | 1.4¢ | $1 | New45 settled bets |
| fanfini0x2b93…05e5 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $1 | New74 settled bets |
| 15pri0x3016…9ffd | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.30 per $100 · 1,025 bets |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| wunasdaq0xc37d…5dd5 | Yes | 100 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3ddc…6f13 | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | $1 | New20 settled bets |
| fwew1240x8ab2…8b3c | Yes | 94 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| mingye0x3507…b9b1 | Yes | 87 | 2.5¢ | $1 | New1 settled bet |
| miazagsc0xd517…382d | Yes | 85 | 4.4¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.